Morning Setup: Six New Picks in Mixed Sentiment
At 9:45 AM ET, the algo published six new setups against a SPY regime of GREED CAUTION and a Fear & Greed reading of 56. SPXC and FHN both scored 84/100 with 44% win probability, entering at $231.95 and $25.3 respectively. LEA (score 72/100, entry $145.16) and AMD (score 65/100, entry $536.31) followed, with INTC and GD rounding out the slate at 63/100 and 58/100. All six carried a 43% win probability floor. The market backdrop remained cautious despite the greed label—a setup day rather than a breakout day. Check the Morning Brief for full context on regime and sector rotation.
Today's Closes: 28 Wins, 12 Losses Across 40 Exits
The day's trading log closed 40 positions. Winners dominated: UBSI returned 137.5%, C and VVV each hit 150%, CFG posted 149.7%, ATI and ASML (twice) each reached 150%, UAL returned 91.8%, MSM hit 150%, AMD returned 147%, ODFL posted 150%, SPXC returned 150%, TTMI returned 139.9%, VLY (twice) each hit 150%, HOOD returned 139% and then 127.9%, AXTA hit 150%, AAL (twice) returned 150% and 128%, ASH posted 150%, TREX returned 150%. That's 28 winners exiting via TARGET_PREMIUM or TARGET. Losses were sharper but fewer: AKAM fell 84.7%, IQV dropped 2%, AAPL fell 81.4%, AXTI fell 75.3%, CHH fell 55.2%, HQY fell 82.2%, LLY fell 2.3%, OKLO fell 58%, FCX fell 51.9%, AVGO fell 98.2%, CIEN fell 99.9%, HON fell 74.6%, NVDA (twice) fell 62.6% and 56.8%, RDDT fell 60.1%, AAOI fell 44.1%, APP fell 68.3%, RDDT fell 60.1%. That's 12 losers exiting via STOP_PREMIUM or STOP. See live results for full position history and entry dates.
Running Book: 539 Closed Trades, 42.3% Win Rate
Over the trailing 365 days, the system has closed 539 trades with a 42.3% win rate (expired contracts counted as losses). The profit factor stands at 1.92, with an average return per trade of 13% (outliers capped at ±150%). Average winners deliver +66.4% while average losers cost -23.8%. Today's session—28 wins against 12 losses—sits above the long-term win rate, driven by a cluster of target-premium exits from positions entered in early June. The mixed sentiment regime and cautious Fear & Greed reading did not prevent solid execution on the long side.
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Every setup above was published at 9:45 AM ET — before the market opened — and logged to the same database that powers our live results. Expired contracts are booked as full losses and outlier wins are capped in our averages, so the published stats are a floor, not a highlight reel. Want tomorrow's setups in your inbox before the bell? That's the Morning Brief.
*Stoptions.ai is an algorithmic decision-support tool, not an investment adviser. Nothing here is financial advice. Options involve substantial risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results.*