Morning Briefing: 12 New Setups in Cautious Territory
Stoptions.ai published 12 new setups at 9:45 AM ET on July 1 as the SPY regime held CAUTIOUS BULL and the Fear & Greed index sat at 31. The highest-conviction pick was PB with a 110/100 score and 88% win probability, targeting $79.2 from an entry of $73.33. Five other setups carried scores in the 99–102 range: KRG (102/100, 56% win prob), PM (102/100, 56%), CGNX (99/100, 67%), ARWR (99/100, 50%), and DLTR (99/100, 50%). The remaining six ranged from 75 to 97 in score, with win probabilities between 50% and 55%. Check the Morning Brief for full details on entry logic and thesis.
Today's Closes: Heavy Losses Offset by Solid Winners
The day's trading produced 15 closed positions. On the loss side: GNTX fell 42.3%, TLN cratered 54.5%, WMB dropped 2.5%, GLW fell 9.1%, TER lost 8.7%, EMR plummeted 73.8%, and MTZ fell 4.5%—seven losers totaling significant damage. The wins came from eight positions: DASH hit target twice (8% and 8.1%), HBAN (8.1%), AJG twice (9.1% and 8.1%), FHN (145.6% on premium exit), HIMS (160% on premium exit), and AFRM (8.3%). The two largest winners—FHN and HIMS—were options plays that reached target premium levels, while the stock winners clustered around 8–9% gains. See live results for tick-by-tick execution data.
Running Record: 706 Closed Trades, 45.2% Win Rate
Over the trailing 365 days, the algorithm has closed 706 trades with a 45.2% win rate (expired contracts counted as losses) and a 3.22 profit factor. Average return per trade stands at 28.7% with outliers capped at ±150%. Winners average 93.7% and losers average -23.2%. Today's session—heavy on losses but anchored by two triple-digit premium wins—is a reminder that the system's edge lives in the long-term math, not the daily noise. The cautious bull regime and subdued fear gauge suggest continued volatility ahead.
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Every setup above was published at 9:45 AM ET — before the market opened — and logged to the same database that powers our live results. Expired contracts are booked as full losses and outlier wins are capped in our averages, so the published stats are a floor, not a highlight reel. Want tomorrow's setups in your inbox before the bell? That's the Morning Brief.
*Stoptions.ai is an algorithmic decision-support tool, not an investment adviser. Nothing here is financial advice. Options involve substantial risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results.*