Morning Lineup: 12 New Setups in Neutral Territory
At 9:45 AM ET, the algo published 12 fresh setups across a neutral SPY regime with Fear & Greed at 47. PFGC led the pack with a 95/100 score and 62% win probability at entry $110.11, followed by a cluster of eight 88/100-scored names (TRI, COLB, HBAN, HOMB, DHR, ONB) plus AFRM, MS, and three options contracts on AAPL, META, and UNH. Win probabilities ranged from 59% to 62%, with entry prices spanning $7.42 to $228.50. The Morning Brief laid out the thesis; live results would tell the story by close.
Today's Closes: 7 Winners, 11 Losers, and One Spectacular Outlier
The day's 19 closed positions split 7 wins and 11 losses—a 37% win rate on the day. The headline: COLB (options) exited via target premium with a +774.3% return, entered just this morning. Four other same-day entries also hit targets: DHR (+125.4%), HBAN (+137.5%), and two older entries, STAG (+130.7%) and OSK (+128.6%). Three stock positions closed at target: HAE (+8.1%), GBCI (+8%), DLTR (+8.3%), and SHC (+8.4%).
On the loss side, 11 positions stopped out. Options took the heaviest damage: CMI (-40.4%), CMG (-37.3% and -38.3% on two separate entries), HWM (-51.4%), ARWR (-65.1%), and three same-day entries (GOOGL, META, NVDA) that exited at breakeven. Stock stops included CYTK (-4.5%) and SOFI (-4%). The day was a reminder that high-probability setups still carry execution risk.
Running Book: 829 Trades, 42.8% Win Rate, 3.2 Profit Factor
Over the trailing 365 days, the algo has closed 829 trades with a 42.8% win rate (expired contracts counted as losses) and a 3.2 profit factor. Average return per trade sits at 28.6% with outliers capped at ±150%. Winners average +99.1%; losers average -22.4%. Today's mixed close—dominated by one outsized win and a string of small losses—is consistent with that asymmetric payoff structure. One aged position, TFC (options, +132.4%), was cleared from the book as administrative housekeeping after 30+ days in the portfolio. The system continues to operate within its historical parameters.
Verify everything
Every setup above was published at 9:45 AM ET — before the market opened — and logged to the same database that powers our live results. Expired contracts are booked as full losses and outlier wins are capped in our averages, so the published stats are a floor, not a highlight reel. Want tomorrow's setups in your inbox before the bell? That's the Morning Brief.
*Stoptions.ai is an algorithmic decision-support tool, not an investment adviser. Nothing here is financial advice. Options involve substantial risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results.*