Morning Scan: 12 Setups in a Cautious Market
At 9:45 AM ET, the algo published 12 new setups across S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 names as SPY held a CAUTIOUS BULL regime with Fear & Greed at 37. TFC led the pack with a score of 105/100 and 60% win probability at entry $52.12, followed by USB at 97/100 (60% win prob, $63.93 entry). UNH appeared twice—once as a stock setup (88/100, 57% win prob, $426.9) and again as a call contract (440C exp 2026-08-21, 74/100, 60% win prob, $10.3). The remaining eight setups ranged from 66/100 to 80/100, spanning AAPL, AMGN, AVTR, MRK, V, JPM, META, and FNB. Most carried 60% or 57% win probabilities. See the Morning Brief for full details.
Today's Closes: Split Between Gains and Stops
Four positions closed during today's session. On the winning side: HALO (options) returned 132.8% via TARGET_PREMIUM exit, and HOG (options) returned 130% via TARGET_PREMIUM exit—both solid outcomes. On the losing side: AFRM (options) hit a STOP_PREMIUM exit with a -47.4% return after entering on 2026-07-16, and OGE (options) exited via STOP_PREMIUM at -50.4% after entering on 2026-07-15. Two wins, two losses. The wins outpaced the losses in percentage terms, though both stop-outs were sharp. Check live results for position-level detail.
Running Book: 855 Trades, 42.9% Win Rate
Over the trailing 365 days, the algo has closed 855 trades with a 42.9% win rate (expired contracts counted as losses) and a 3.11 profit factor. Average return per trade stands at 27.8% with outliers capped at ±150%. Winners average +97.3%; losers average -22.8%. One aged position—DXCM (options), entered 2026-05-21—was cleared today via TIME_EXPIRY_60D as administrative housekeeping and does not factor into today's trading narrative.
Verify everything
Every setup above was published at 9:45 AM ET — before the market opened — and logged to the same database that powers our live results. Expired contracts are booked as full losses and outlier wins are capped in our averages, so the published stats are a floor, not a highlight reel. Want tomorrow's setups in your inbox before the bell? That's the Morning Brief.
*Stoptions.ai is an algorithmic decision-support tool, not an investment adviser. Nothing here is financial advice. Options involve substantial risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results.*