Morning Setup: 10 New Picks in Mixed Sentiment
At 9:45 AM ET, the algo published 10 new setups with SPY in GREED CAUTION regime and Fear & Greed at 59. Two high-conviction plays led the list: AVT and HPE, each scoring 90/100 with 34% win probability and entry prices of $93.73 and $52.33 respectively. GS stood apart—a call contract (1095C expiring 2026-09-11) with a 90/100 score but notably higher 64% win probability, entered at $16.65. Four more setups scored 84/100: ANET ($210), FOUR ($56.52), HAE ($85.97), and ILMN ($203.44), all carrying 34% win probability. The lower-conviction tier—AME, BSY, and CVX—scored 63/100 with 32% win probability each. Check the Morning Brief for full context on market conditions.
Today's Closes: 9 Winners, 3 Losses
The portfolio closed 12 positions today. On the winning side: ELAN (options) returned 182.4%, KKR returned 185.4%, AMGN delivered the day's best result at 278.9%, EXPE returned 133.1%, DBX returned 141.2%, AVT returned 177.3%, ANET returned 162.8%, AME returned 150%, and ELAN (stock position) returned 10.2%. All nine winners exited via target premium or target. On the loss side: VNO fell 61.1% and exited via stop premium; CVX dropped 51.7% via stop premium; DINO declined 41.2% via stop premium. See live results for full trade logs. The day's win rate on closes was 75% (9 of 12), though the running book tells a different story.
Running Track Record: Steady Grind
Over the trailing 365 days, the algo has closed 1127 trades with a 35.8% win rate (expired contracts counted as losses). Profit factor stands at 1.51. Average return per trade is 7.2% with outliers capped at ±150%. Winners average 61.1% per trade; losers average −21.6%. Today's exceptional close rate reflects the volatility of individual days against the longer-term distribution. The system continues to operate within its historical parameters.
Verify everything
Every setup above was published at 9:45 AM ET — before the market opened — and logged to the same database that powers our live results. Expired contracts are booked as full losses and outlier wins are capped in our averages, so the published stats are a floor, not a highlight reel. Want tomorrow's setups in your inbox before the bell? That's the Morning Brief.
*Stoptions.ai is an algorithmic decision-support tool, not an investment adviser. Nothing here is financial advice. Options involve substantial risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results.*