Morning Setup: 12 New Picks in Mixed Sentiment
At 9:45 AM ET, the algo published 12 setups across S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 names as SPY held a GREED CAUTION regime with Fear & Greed at 60. The highest-conviction plays were CG and EXPE, both scoring 95/100 with 36% win probability and defined risk/reward targets. NOW landed a 128C call (exp 2026-09-18) at 84/100 with a notably higher 67% win probability at $5.17 entry. Mid-tier scores clustered around 63–84, including PVH, DCI, HON (two separate entries), HAE, DASH, IR, HWM, and AVT. The full slate ranged from HAE's 69/100 down to DASH and IR at 63/100. See the Morning Brief for full context on regime and sector rotation.
Today's Closes: Wins Offset by Deeper Losses
The day's trading produced 4 winners and 8 losers—a tough session with outsized downside. On the bright side: NOW (options) delivered a 197.3% return via TARGET_PREMIUM, ARES (options) crushed it with 294.3%, VEEV (options) posted 142.2%, and ABNB (options) returned 165.8%. Stock-side wins came from ADBE (+8.2%), AVNT (+8.1%), and NOW (stocks, +11.5%). The losses were steeper and more numerous. Options positions in XOM (-54.1%), V (two entries at -40.1% and -58.8%), ILMN (two entries at -62.2% and -46%), CVX (-48%), HAE (-43.3%), CUZ (-66.7%), ANET (-44.5%), IR (-43.8%), BMY (-52%), and AVT (-42.4%) all exited via STOP_PREMIUM. Stock stops hit HWM (-2.9%), FNF (-3.6%), and AVT (-2.9%). Check live results for full position details and entry dates.
Running Book: 385 Closed Trades, 34.3% Win Rate
Over the trailing 365 days, the system has closed 385 trades with a 34.3% win rate and a 1.77 profit factor. Average return per trade stands at 14.7% (with outliers capped at ±150%). Winners average +99% while losers average -29.3%. Today's session—heavy on premium stops and a mix of outsized wins and mid-sized losses—fits within the longer-term distribution. The algo continues to log every outcome, wins and losses alike, without editorial spin. The numbers are what they are.
Verify everything
Every setup above was published at 9:45 AM ET — before the market opened — and logged to the same database that powers our live results. Expired contracts are booked as full losses and outlier wins are capped in our averages, so the published stats are a floor, not a highlight reel. Want tomorrow's setups in your inbox before the bell? That's the Morning Brief.
*Stoptions.ai is an algorithmic decision-support tool, not an investment adviser. Nothing here is financial advice. Options involve substantial risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results.*