Morning Setup: 12 New Picks in a Bullish Backdrop
Stoptions published 12 new setups at 9:45 AM ET into a BULL regime with Fear & Greed at 76. The highest-conviction picks were AVT (score 84/100, win prob 36%, entry $97.47) and GS (score 82/100, win prob 65%, entry $31.35 for the 1070C expiring 2026-09-18). Mid-tier entries included GH (77/100, 36% win prob), GS again on the 1035C (73/100, entry $49.21, target $88.58), and HON (65/100, 31% win prob). Lower-probability setups rounded out the slate: SSB options (63/100, entry $2.28, target $4.1), SSB stock (58/100), FLR options (57/100, entry $4.63, target $8.33), MDB (56/100, 1% win prob), LITE stock (54/100, 1% win prob), ABNB options (49/100, entry $11.2, target $20.16), and LITE options again (48/100, entry $91.4, target $164.52). Check the Morning Brief for full context on regime and volatility drivers.
Today's Closes: One Winner, Fourteen Losers
The day's trading was decidedly one-sided. Of 15 positions closed, only 1 returned a win: BX options posted a 151.9% return, exiting via TARGET_PREMIUM after entry on 2026-07-30. The remaining 14 closed as losses. Notable damage came from RYAN options (-95.7%, stop-premium exit), LITE options (-35.6%, stop-premium), DASH options (-36.4%, stop-premium), and ARES options (-42.8%, stop-premium). Stock stops were tighter but consistent: LITE stock (-11.4%), AXTI (-10.8%), FLR stock (-4.7%), FSLR (-5%), CBRE (two entries: -3.9% and -4%), CDP (-2%), and CG (-3.1%). FNF options exited at -60.7% via stop-premium. See live results for full trade-by-trade detail.
Running Record: 365-Day Trailing Stats
Over the trailing 365 days, the algorithm has closed 400 trades with a 33.3% win rate (expired contracts counted as losses). The profit factor stands at 1.7, with an average return per trade of 13.7% (outliers capped at ±150%). Average winners averaged 99.4% while average losers averaged -29.1%. Today's 1-win, 14-loss session is a sharp reversal from the long-term profile, though single-day variance is expected in any systematic approach. The running book reflects both the strength of high-conviction setups (like BX's 151.9% win) and the cost of lower-probability entries when they miss their stops.
Verify everything
Every setup above was published at 9:45 AM ET — before the market opened — and logged to the same database that powers our live results. Expired contracts are booked as full losses and outlier wins are capped in our averages, so the published stats are a floor, not a highlight reel. Want tomorrow's setups in your inbox before the bell? That's the Morning Brief.
*Stoptions.ai is an algorithmic decision-support tool, not an investment adviser. Nothing here is financial advice. Options involve substantial risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results.*