Morning Setup: 10 Picks in a Mixed Regime
At 9:45 AM ET, the algo published 10 new setups with SPY in GREED CAUTION mode and Fear & Greed at 65. The highest-conviction pick was CMC (score 90/100, win prob 36%, entry $72.3), followed by GS with two contracts: the 1070C expiring 2026-09-18 (score 82/100, win prob 65%, entry $28.75) and the 1030C (score 74/100, entry $49.45, stop $29.67, target $89.01). Mid-tier setups included RMD (score 69/100, win prob 26%, entry $220), APO (score 63/100, win prob 26%, entry $132.25), and two KKR entries—a stock position (score 63/100, win prob 36%, entry $104.2) and a 100C contract (score 37/100, entry $11, stop $6.6, target $19.8). Lower-conviction plays rounded out the slate: APO 130C (score 26/100), RMD 220C (score 10/100), and CMC 70C (score 5/100). See the Morning Brief for full context.
Today's Closes: 6 Wins, 11 Losses
The day's 17 closed positions split 6 wins and 11 losses. Winners came from KKR (stocks, +8.4% via target, entered 2026-08-10), CDE (stocks, +8.1% via target, entered 2026-08-10), KKR (stocks again, +8.2% via target, entered 2026-07-31), MDB (stocks, +8.6% via target, entered 2026-08-10), BMRN (stocks, +8.8% via target, entered 2026-08-10), and ARES (options, +285.9% via target premium, entered 2026-07-30). Losses dominated the ledger: HON stocks (-2.9% and -3.9% via stops), PVH options (-42.5% via stop premium), ELAN options (-76.1% via stop premium), YETI options (two positions, both -44.8% via stop premium), DCI options (-72.5% via stop premium), ICE options (-55% via stop premium), IR stocks (-4% via stop), LPX options (-44.4% via stop premium), and HON options (-68.3% via stop premium). Check live results for full trade logs.
Running Record: 417 Closed Trades
Over the trailing 365 days, the system has closed 417 trades with a 33.3% win rate (expired contracts counted as losses), a profit factor of 1.65, and an average return per trade of 12.8% (outliers capped at ±150%). Average winners have returned +97.5% while average losers have cost -29.6%. Today's session reflects the typical variance in a high-volume, algorithmic approach: outsized wins like ARES offset concentrated losses in options premium, while stock targets continue to execute cleanly. No aged positions were cleared today.
Verify everything
Every setup above was published at 9:45 AM ET — before the market opened — and logged to the same database that powers our live results. Expired contracts are booked as full losses and outlier wins are capped in our averages, so the published stats are a floor, not a highlight reel. Want tomorrow's setups in your inbox before the bell? That's the Morning Brief.
*Stoptions.ai is an algorithmic decision-support tool, not an investment adviser. Nothing here is financial advice. Options involve substantial risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results.*