Morning Scan: 12 Setups in a Mixed Regime
At 9:45 AM ET, the algo published 12 new setups under a GREED CAUTION regime with Fear & Greed at 61. The highest-conviction pick was HRB (contract 40C exp 2026-09-18) at 91/100, followed by PCTY at 84/100 and GS (1075C) at 83/100. The quality spread was wide: HRB's 91-point score sat well above the median, while SMCI and KKR languished at 31 and 25 respectively. Win probabilities ranged from 1% (HRB stock entry at 53.94) to 65% (GS 1075C at 25.25 entry). Six setups carried stop and target levels; six were stock entries. Check the Morning Brief for the full context.
Today's Closes: 3 Wins, 12 Losses
Fifteen positions closed today. The winners: VEEV (stocks, +15.3%, target exit), SCHW (stocks, +8.1%, target exit), and CDE (options, +81.8%, target premium exit). HRB (options, +145%, target premium exit) also closed as a winner—notably, this was the 91/100 setup published this morning, which hit its target the same day. SMCI (stocks, +8.1%, target exit) rounded out the win column at five trades.
The loss column held 10 closes: COR (-2.4%, stop), ONB (-80%, stop premium), MA (-56.2%, stop premium), DCI (-2.1%, stop), PFGC (-93.4%, stop premium), PVH (-4.4%, stop), FSLR (-41.4%, stop premium), BSY (-40%, stop premium), APO (-3%, stop), and CAH (-2.8%, stop). Three of the five losses that closed today were same-day entries (APO, CAH, SMCI), a reminder that even high-conviction setups can reverse sharply. See live results for the full ledger.
Running Record: Steady Through the Noise
Over the trailing 365 days, the system has closed 432 trades with a 33.3% win rate, 1.62 profit factor, and 12.2% average return per trade (capped outliers). Average winners land at +95.9%; average losers at -29.7%. Today's session—3 wins and 12 losses—sits below the long-term win rate but within the expected variance of a system that trades across a broad universe and publishes daily. The profit factor and average winner size continue to carry the math; the 1% win-probability HRB stock entry and the 145% HRB options win illustrate the algo's willingness to publish low-odds setups alongside high-conviction calls. No aged positions were cleared today.
Verify everything
Every setup above was published at 9:45 AM ET — before the market opened — and logged to the same database that powers our live results. Expired contracts are booked as full losses and outlier wins are capped in our averages, so the published stats are a floor, not a highlight reel. Want tomorrow's setups in your inbox before the bell? That's the Morning Brief.
*Stoptions.ai is an algorithmic decision-support tool, not an investment adviser. Nothing here is financial advice. Options involve substantial risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results.*