Morning Lineup: 12 New Setups in Mixed Sentiment
Stoptions published 12 fresh picks at 9:45 AM ET under a GREED CAUTION regime with Fear & Greed at 62. The day's highest-conviction plays were AXTA (score 90/100), followed by three equities tied at 84/100: MRK at $133.36, PCTY at $145.1, and ROST at $247.77—each carrying 35% win probability. Two GS call contracts led the options slate: the 1075C expiring 2026-09-25 scored 82/100 with 61% win prob at $29.48 entry, while the 1035C (2026-09-18) scored 71/100 with $41.4 entry, $24.84 stop, and $74.52 target. Lower-conviction setups rounded out the board, including TOST, VAL, AXON, and a MRK call contract all scoring below 50/100. See the Morning Brief for full context.
Today's Closes: 5 Wins, 10 Losses
Of 15 positions closed today, the scorecard tilted sharply negative. Winners: HAE (stocks, +8.4% via target, entered 2026-08-07), SMCI (stocks, +9.9% via target, entered 2026-08-13), PCTY (stocks, +8.3% via target, entered 2026-08-12), ARES (options, +133.3% via target premium, entered 2026-07-29), KKR (options, +102.1% via target premium, entered 2026-08-10), and MDB (options, +154.7% via target premium, entered 2026-08-10). Losers dominated: GH (stocks, -4% via stop, entered 2026-08-10), BRK.B (stocks, -1.2% via stop, entered 2026-08-12), VNT (stocks, -3.2% via stop, entered 2026-08-12), and a cluster of options exits via stop-premium on CSCO (three separate positions: -77.7%, -81.1%, -60%), COR (-47.3%), BSY (-47%), and MTN (-50.7%). Check live results for full position history.
Running Record: 365-Day Trailing Metrics
Administrative housekeeping cleared two aged positions (entered 30+ days prior): CFG (stocks, +8% via target, entered 2026-07-09) and ARWR (options, -62.2% via stop premium, entered 2026-07-01). The trailing 365-day book now stands at 449 closed trades with a 33.6% win rate (expired contracts scored as losses), 1.58 profit factor, and 11.7% average return per trade. Average winner: +94.3%. Average loser: -30.1%. Today's session—heavy on option premium stops and a handful of equity target hits—reflects the churn typical of algorithmic scanning in mixed regimes.
Verify everything
Every setup above was published at 9:45 AM ET — before the market opened — and logged to the same database that powers our live results. Expired contracts are booked as full losses and outlier wins are capped in our averages, so the published stats are a floor, not a highlight reel. Want tomorrow's setups in your inbox before the bell? That's the Morning Brief.
*Stoptions.ai is an algorithmic decision-support tool, not an investment adviser. Nothing here is financial advice. Options involve substantial risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results.*