AJGStock and Options Trade Setup — Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.
NYSE · Insurance Brokerage · High-liquidity options · Large cap · ~$75B
AJG is a structural compounder benefiting from three reinforcing tailwinds: hardening commercial P&C rates (which lift fee revenue per policy), accelerating roll-up M&A among independent brokerages (Gallagher has completed 50+ tuck-ins per year for a decade), and the secular shift of risk management complexity that drives clients toward larger advisory firms. The business is fee-driven and asset-light, with no underwriting risk and predictable mid-single-digit organic growth on top of M&A. Management has executed cleanly through multiple cycles, with margin expansion every year despite integration cost from acquisitions. The CEO transition to Pat Gallagher Jr. has been seamless, with the company's decentralized model preserved. Options are moderately liquid; this is a name where slower, methodical bullish setups outperform short-dated speculative trades. Best suited to medium-duration trend continuation.
Score History & Signal Changelog
Preview dataThis page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.
Signal Breakdown
Today's Trade Card
Options Profile
Risks & Fundamentals
Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move AJG against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.
- 1.P&C rate cycle turning softer would slow organic fee growth (currently +6-8% per year)
- 2.M&A multiple inflation as PE-backed brokerages bid up tuck-in valuations
- 3.Talent attrition risk — broker producers can take books of business to competitors
AJG Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions
Is AJG a good options trade today?+
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 74/100, ranking it top 14% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.
What is AJG's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+
AJG's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 71%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past AJG trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.
What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for AJG?+
The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.
How often is the AJG setup updated?+
Every 72 hours we refresh AJG's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If AJG drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.
What does the Amora Edge Score measure for AJG?+
The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to AJG: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is AJG outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. AJG currently scores 74.
How does AJG compare to other Insurance Brokerage setups?+
AJG's sector rank and percentile against other Insurance Brokerage tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Insurance Brokerage Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.
Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.
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