APOStock and Options Trade Setup — Apollo Global Management
NYSE · Alternative Asset Management (Credit & Private Equity) · High-liquidity options · Large cap · ~$80B
Apollo's differentiation is the Athene flywheel: a retirement services arm that originates predictable, long-duration insurance liabilities which Apollo then deploys into proprietary private credit at attractive spreads. This creates a permanent-capital advantage that competitors must source via fundraising cycles, and structurally lifts fee-related earnings (FRE) and spread-related earnings (SRE) durability. The private credit cycle remains in mid-innings: as banks continue exiting middle-market lending under Basel III endgame rules, Apollo wins share of new origination at attractive net IRRs. Origination volumes recently hit a record on direct lending and asset-based finance. Management has guided to doubling FRE by 2029 and Athene assets growing low-double-digits per year. Options liquidity is good and IVR is moderate; both directional and event-driven (earnings, investor day) setups have been productive historically.
Score History & Signal Changelog
Preview dataThis page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.
Signal Breakdown
Today's Trade Card
Options Profile
Risks & Fundamentals
Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move APO against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.
- 1.Credit cycle turning materially worse than base case, lifting losses on Athene's portfolio
- 2.Annuity industry regulatory tightening (NAIC scrutiny of related-party investments)
- 3.Direct lending market spread compression as competitors raise larger funds
APO Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions
Is APO a good options trade today?+
Apollo Global Management (APO) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 73/100, ranking it top 15% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.
What is APO's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+
APO's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 69%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past APO trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.
What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for APO?+
The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.
How often is the APO setup updated?+
Every 72 hours we refresh APO's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If APO drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.
What does the Amora Edge Score measure for APO?+
The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to APO: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is APO outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. APO currently scores 73.
How does APO compare to other Alternative Asset Management (Credit & Private Equity) setups?+
APO's sector rank and percentile against other Alternative Asset Management (Credit & Private Equity) tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Alternative Asset Management (Credit & Private Equity) Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.
Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.
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