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Not financial advice. Algo-generated setups are not personalised investment advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss — past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Stoptions.ai›Tickers›ARW
Last updated: Fri May 15, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET
↻ Next update: Thu, May 21, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET

ARWStock and Options Trade Setup — Arrow Electronics, Inc.ARW logo

NYSE · Electronic Components Distribution · Moderate-liquidity options · Mid cap · ~$6B

▲ Bullish setupTechnologySemi distributionMedium risk↑ Score +3 vs last update
63
Amora Edge Score
63
Top 39% of today's scan
↑ +3 vs last update
Composite of EMA, RSI, RS vs SPY & volume · updated every 72h
58
ARW Win Rate
58%
10 of 17 ARW setups hit target in 2025-2026
Tracks completed Stoptions setups on this ticker since Jan 2026
Why we cover ARW

Arrow operates a structurally counter-cyclical distribution model: when the chip cycle turns up, Arrow takes a cut of every part shipped on existing design wins; when the cycle is weak, Arrow's engineering services and supply-chain working-capital business expand to compensate. We are currently in the early-cycle phase of the next semi up-leg, with industrial bookings stabilising and aerospace-defense backlog hitting all-time highs. Margins are typically near trough but have begun ticking back up as inventory destocking ends. The stock trades at single-digit forward EPS multiple with significant buyback capacity — management has reduced share count materially over the past five years. Free cash flow tends to lead reported EPS by 1-2 quarters, providing an early-cycle signal. Options are moderately liquid; medium-duration directional setups built around inflection-quarter earnings have produced the best historical hit rates.

Score History & Signal Changelog

Preview data

This page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.

Score progression across 4 updates
Solid = composite · dashed = components
Signal Changelog
DateUpdateScoreDeltaKey change
May 1#1 Created54—Page created. Inventory destocking ending; industrial bookings stabilising.
May 5#2 Update57+3EMA crossover. Q1 op-margin ticked up sequentially.
May 10#3 Update60+3RS rank improving vs distribution peers. Buyback authorisation expanded.
May 15#4 Current63+3All four signals constructive. Early-cycle semi-distribution play forming.

Signal Breakdown

EMA Cross
Active
16/25
21-day EMA recently crossed above 50-day; structural turn forming
RSI Zone
Holding
15/25
RSI at 54 — momentum building but still neutral
RS vs SPY
Active
16/25
Outperforming SPY +1.4pp over 20 sessions; semis cohort starting to lead
Volume Surge
Active
16/25
1.3x 20-day average on up-days; quiet accumulation pattern

Today's Trade Card

Setup
ARW $130 CALL
Expires Jul 18, 2026
Premium
$3.20
Target
+65% premium
Stop loss
-40% premium
Breakeven
$133.2
Win prob.
53%
Sizing: Risk <= 1% of account
Greeks
Delta
0.43
Theta
-0.05
IVR
32%
IVR class
Medium
Trade card available on Pro & Elite
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Options Profile

Avg IV (30d)
32%
IVR range (52-wk)
18-58%
Put/call ratio
0.74
Avg daily vol.
1.6K contracts
Open interest
22K contracts
Next earnings
Aug 6, 2026 (est.)

Risks & Fundamentals

Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move ARW against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.

Beta
1.2
Market cap
~$6B
Risk level
Medium risk
Next earnings
Aug 6, 2026 (est.)
Key risks to monitor
  • 1.Semi cycle stalling in industrial and broad-line distribution end markets
  • 2.Inventory write-downs if components shipped at peak prices remain on the balance sheet
  • 3.Operating-margin compression if pricing competition with Avnet intensifies
These are real risks to the long thesis, not a recommendation to short. Stoptions setups are short-dated and stop-protected; size accordingly.

ARW Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions

Is ARW a good options trade today?+

Arrow Electronics, Inc. (ARW) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 63/100, ranking it top 39% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.

What is ARW's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+

ARW's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 58%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past ARW trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.

What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for ARW?+

The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.

How often is the ARW setup updated?+

Every 72 hours we refresh ARW's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If ARW drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.

What does the Amora Edge Score measure for ARW?+

The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to ARW: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is ARW outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. ARW currently scores 63.

How does ARW compare to other Electronic Components Distribution setups?+

ARW's sector rank and percentile against other Electronic Components Distribution tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Electronic Components Distribution Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.

Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.

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