EXEStock and Options Trade Setup — Expand Energy Corporation
Nasdaq · Natural Gas E&P — Appalachian Basin · Moderate-liquidity options · Large cap · ~$12B
Expand Energy is the highest-conviction pure-play natural gas vehicle for investors betting on LNG export demand, AI data center power demand, and domestic gas supply tightness. The merger with SWN created a company with ~7 Bcf/day of production capacity — roughly 7% of total U.S. gas supply — and the lowest-cost position in both the Marcellus and Haynesville plays. Natural gas demand is structurally supported by: (1) new LNG export terminals coming online 2025–2028, (2) natural gas-fired power generation displacing coal as the baseload bridge fuel, and (3) AI data center power demand requiring reliable dispatchable generation. The balance sheet is clean post-restructuring, and the company generates substantial free cash flow at current gas strip prices. A rising gas price environment dramatically amplifies FCF and valuation upside.
Score History & Signal Changelog
Preview dataThis page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.
Signal Breakdown
Today's Trade Card
Options Profile
Risks & Fundamentals
Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move EXE against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.
- 1.Natural gas price is the primary driver — a warm winter or LNG export disruption can collapse the price deck
- 2.Haynesville breakeven costs are higher than Marcellus; at sub-$2.50/MMBtu gas, FCF turns sharply negative
- 3.Integration execution risk from the SWN merger; operational complexity of managing two large shale systems simultaneously
EXE Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions
Is EXE a good options trade today?+
Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 74/100, ranking it top 27% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.
What is EXE's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+
EXE's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 71%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past EXE trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.
What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for EXE?+
The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.
How often is the EXE setup updated?+
Every 72 hours we refresh EXE's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If EXE drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.
What does the Amora Edge Score measure for EXE?+
The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to EXE: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is EXE outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. EXE currently scores 74.
How does EXE compare to other Natural Gas E&P — Appalachian Basin setups?+
EXE's sector rank and percentile against other Natural Gas E&P — Appalachian Basin tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Natural Gas E&P — Appalachian Basin Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.
Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.
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