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Not financial advice. Algo-generated setups are not personalised investment advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss — past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Stoptions.ai›Tickers›EXP
Last updated: Friday, May 22, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET
↻ Next update: Monday, May 25, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET

EXPStock and Options Trade Setup — Eagle Materials Inc.EXP logo

NYSE · Construction Materials — Cement & Wallboard · Low-liquidity options · Mid cap · ~$7.2B

▲ Bullish setupMaterialsConstruction materialsMedium risk↑ Score +3 vs last update
68
Amora Edge Score
68
Top 36% of today's scan
↑ +3 vs last update
Composite of EMA, RSI, RS vs SPY & volume · updated every 72h
67
EXP Win Rate
67%
7 of 10 EXP setups hit target in 2026
Tracks completed Stoptions setups on this ticker since Jan 2026
Why we cover EXP

Eagle Materials is the highest-quality operator in the domestic cement and wallboard oligopoly. Its competitive moat is structural: cement is expensive to transport (limiting imports), quarry permits take decades to obtain, and the top five U.S. producers control the majority of domestic capacity — giving EXP pricing power that compounds through construction cycles. Infrastructure spending (IIJA) and residential construction recovery are multi-year demand tailwinds. EXP's wallboard business benefits from the same housing cycle and generates 30%+ operating margins on what is essentially a commodity product, thanks to geographic dominance in the South and Mountain West markets. The company consistently converts >90% of net income to free cash flow, funds aggressive buybacks (reducing share count ~5% per year), and trades at a discount to its intrinsic value relative to the pricing power it commands.

Score History & Signal Changelog

Preview data

This page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.

Score progression across 4 updates
Solid = composite · dashed = components
Signal Changelog
DateUpdateScoreDeltaKey change
May 5#1 Created56—Page created. Infrastructure spending cycle and housing recovery supportive.
May 9#2 Update60+4Cement pricing data positive. Infrastructure bill spending accelerating.
May 14#3 Update65+5Volume confirming. Materials sector seeing institutional rotation.
May 19#4 Current68+3All signals active. Oligopoly pricing setup confirmed; approaching Strong tier.

Signal Breakdown

EMA Cross
Active
17/25
Above both EMAs; construction sector rotation driving momentum
RSI Zone
Active
17/25
RSI at 60 — entering momentum zone; industrials and materials rotating
RS vs SPY
Active
17/25
Outperforming SPY +1.9pp; infrastructure theme supporting materials names
Volume Surge
Active
17/25
1.5× 20-day avg; consistent above-average participation

Today's Trade Card

Setup
EXP $250 CALL
Expires Jul 18, 2026
Premium
$5.80
Target
+62% premium
Stop loss
-40% premium
Breakeven
$255.8
Win prob.
54%
Sizing: Risk ≤ 0.75% of account (low-liquidity options)
Greeks
Delta
0.39
Theta
-0.09
IVR
24%
IVR class
Low
Loading…

Options Profile

Avg IV (30d)
30%
IVR range (52-wk)
18–50%
Put/call ratio
0.82
Avg daily vol.
1.5K contracts
Open interest
16K contracts
Next earnings
Jul 24, 2026 (est.)

Risks & Fundamentals

Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move EXP against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.

Beta
1.2
Market cap
~$7.2B
Risk level
Medium risk
Next earnings
Jul 24, 2026 (est.)
Key risks to monitor
  • 1.Construction cycle sensitivity — a meaningful housing or non-residential construction slowdown compresses both volume and pricing
  • 2.Energy cost exposure — cement manufacturing is energy-intensive; natural gas and coal price spikes compress margins
  • 3.New cement capacity additions (unlikely but possible) could erode the oligopoly pricing structure over 5–7 years
These are real risks to the long thesis, not a recommendation to short. Stoptions setups are short-dated and stop-protected; size accordingly.

EXP Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions

Is EXP a good options trade today?+

Eagle Materials Inc. (EXP) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 68/100, ranking it top 36% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.

What is EXP's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+

EXP's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 67%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past EXP trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.

What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for EXP?+

The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.

How often is the EXP setup updated?+

Every 72 hours we refresh EXP's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If EXP drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.

What does the Amora Edge Score measure for EXP?+

The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to EXP: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is EXP outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. EXP currently scores 68.

How does EXP compare to other Construction Materials — Cement & Wallboard setups?+

EXP's sector rank and percentile against other Construction Materials — Cement & Wallboard tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Construction Materials — Cement & Wallboard Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.

Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.

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