EXPDStock and Options Trade Setup — Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
Nasdaq · Global Freight Forwarding & Supply Chain Logistics · Low-liquidity options · Large cap · ~$18B
Expeditors is the highest-quality business model in global freight — asset-light, deeply experienced, and consistently profitable through every freight cycle. The company earns a commission-based spread between buy and sell rates for airfreight and ocean freight capacity, meaning it scales without owning the underlying assets. This model generates 30%+ operating margins in upcycles and remains profitable in down cycles where asset-heavy peers suffer. Expeditors has a 40-year track record of no debt, consistent share buybacks, and exceptional returns on invested capital — it is the Berkshire of the freight world in terms of financial discipline. Near-term, a normalization of freight rates after the post-COVID spike creates volume growth opportunity as shippers return to JIT inventory models. A global trade recovery — particularly in Asia-Pacific tech supply chains — is the primary catalyst for the next upcycle.
Score History & Signal Changelog
Preview dataThis page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.
Signal Breakdown
Today's Trade Card
Options Profile
Risks & Fundamentals
Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move EXPD against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.
- 1.Freight rate normalization reduces revenue per shipment — in a down-rate environment, volume growth must compensate
- 2.Trade policy disruption (tariffs, sanctions) can reroute or reduce global goods flows that Expeditors intermediates
- 3.Disintermediation risk from digital freight brokers (Flexport, Freightos) targeting the lower end of the market
EXPD Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions
Is EXPD a good options trade today?+
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 65/100, ranking it top 41% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.
What is EXPD's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+
EXPD's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 66%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past EXPD trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.
What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for EXPD?+
The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.
How often is the EXPD setup updated?+
Every 72 hours we refresh EXPD's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If EXPD drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.
What does the Amora Edge Score measure for EXPD?+
The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to EXPD: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is EXPD outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. EXPD currently scores 65.
How does EXPD compare to other Global Freight Forwarding & Supply Chain Logistics setups?+
EXPD's sector rank and percentile against other Global Freight Forwarding & Supply Chain Logistics tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Global Freight Forwarding & Supply Chain Logistics Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.
Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.
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