GMSStock and Options Trade Setup — GMS Inc.
NYSE · Building Products Distribution (Wallboard & Ceilings) · Low-liquidity options · Mid cap · ~$3.5B
GMS is a high-quality, well-managed specialty building products distributor positioned for the next leg of non-residential construction recovery alongside a steady residential repair-and-remodel backdrop. The acquisition pipeline (15+ tuck-ins per year) consolidates a still-fragmented industry where independent yards struggle to compete on inventory breadth, pricing, and credit terms. End-market mix has shifted toward higher-margin complementary products (insulation, tools, fasteners) and commercial ceilings, both of which compound at rates well above wallboard. Operating leverage is meaningful — gross margin expansion has been consistent through cycles as scale benefits compound. Cash generation funds the M&A book plus buybacks, with management consistently returning capital at attractive valuations. Risk profile is moderate, primarily tied to residential housing starts and non-residential construction cycles. Options liquidity is light; medium-duration directional setups around construction cycle data have been productive.
Score History & Signal Changelog
Preview dataThis page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.
Signal Breakdown
Today's Trade Card
Options Profile
Risks & Fundamentals
Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move GMS against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.
- 1.Residential construction softening if mortgage rates remain elevated through 2026
- 2.Non-residential construction recovery stalling out before structural acceleration
- 3.M&A pipeline pricing inflation reducing tuck-in deal IRRs
GMS Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions
Is GMS a good options trade today?+
GMS Inc. (GMS) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 64/100, ranking it top 34% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.
What is GMS's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+
GMS's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 60%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past GMS trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.
What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for GMS?+
The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.
How often is the GMS setup updated?+
Every 72 hours we refresh GMS's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If GMS drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.
What does the Amora Edge Score measure for GMS?+
The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to GMS: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is GMS outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. GMS currently scores 64.
How does GMS compare to other Building Products Distribution (Wallboard & Ceilings) setups?+
GMS's sector rank and percentile against other Building Products Distribution (Wallboard & Ceilings) tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Building Products Distribution (Wallboard & Ceilings) Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.
Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.
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