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Not financial advice. Algo-generated setups are not personalised investment advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss — past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Stoptions.ai›Tickers›HLF
Last updated: Friday, May 22, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET
↻ Next update: Monday, May 25, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET

HLFStock and Options Trade Setup — Herbalife Ltd.HLF logo

NYSE · Nutrition Products & Direct Sales · Low-liquidity options · Small cap · ~$800M

▼ High-risk setupConsumerNutrition / MLMHigh risk↑ Score -2 vs last update
44
Amora Edge Score
44
Top 72% of today's scan
↓ -2 vs last update
Composite of EMA, RSI, RS vs SPY & volume · updated every 72h
55
HLF Win Rate
55%
5 of 9 HLF setups hit target in 2026
Tracks completed Stoptions setups on this ticker since Jan 2026
Why we cover HLF

Herbalife is a deep value and turnaround play rather than a momentum setup — the stock trades at a steep discount to its historical earnings power after years of regulatory pressure, distributor attrition, and balance sheet stress. The core product demand for meal replacement and protein nutrition is stable, and Herbalife remains the dominant brand in many emerging markets (Mexico, Southeast Asia, India) where gym culture and aspirational health spending are growing. Management is executing a multi-year restructuring: cost cuts, SKU rationalization, and debt reduction are improving FCF trajectory. Any acceleration in distributor recruitment or improvement in volume points (a key leading indicator) could trigger a significant re-rating from depressed levels. This is a high-risk, high-potential-reward setup suited to small position sizing and defined-risk options structures.

Score History & Signal Changelog

Preview data

This page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.

Score progression across 4 updates
Solid = composite · dashed = components
Signal Changelog
DateUpdateScoreDeltaKey change
May 5#1 Created50—Page created. Watched for turnaround setup; emerging market volume data mixed.
May 9#2 Update48-2EMA structure weakening. U.S. distributor attrition data disappointing.
May 14#3 Update46-2RS vs SPY deteriorating. Debt maturity concerns resurfacing in credit market.
May 19#4 Current44-2All signals weak. High-risk watch only; no actionable bullish entry at this time.

Signal Breakdown

EMA Cross
Weak
11/25
Price below 50-day EMA; 20-day recently crossed below 50-day — bearish
RSI Zone
Weak
11/25
RSI at 43 — below the 50 midline; momentum deteriorating
RS vs SPY
Weak
11/25
Underperforming SPY; no sector tailwind; MLM model headwinds persist
Volume Surge
Weak
11/25
Volume near average; no accumulation signal present

Today's Trade Card

Setup
HLF $8 CALL
Expires Jul 18, 2026
Premium
$0.50
Target
+50% premium
Stop loss
-35% premium
Breakeven
$8.5
Win prob.
44%
Sizing: Risk ≤ 0.5% of account (speculative)
Greeks
Delta
0.34
Theta
-0.02
IVR
48%
IVR class
Medium
Loading…

Options Profile

Avg IV (30d)
62%
IVR range (52-wk)
34–95%
Put/call ratio
1.10
Avg daily vol.
4K contracts
Open interest
40K contracts
Next earnings
Aug 4, 2026 (est.)

Risks & Fundamentals

Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move HLF against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.

Beta
1.4
Market cap
~$800M
Risk level
High risk
Next earnings
Aug 4, 2026 (est.)
Key risks to monitor
  • 1.Distributor model under secular pressure — regulatory scrutiny of MLM compensation structures continues across multiple jurisdictions
  • 2.Heavy debt load from prior leveraged buyout and share buybacks limits balance sheet flexibility
  • 3.Brand perception and distributor recruitment in the U.S. market remain challenged post-FTC settlement
These are real risks to the long thesis, not a recommendation to short. Stoptions setups are short-dated and stop-protected; size accordingly.

HLF Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions

Is HLF a good options trade today?+

Herbalife Ltd. (HLF) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 44/100, ranking it top 72% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a high-risk setup, so the algorithm is positioned cautious (smaller size or wait for confirmation). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.

What is HLF's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+

HLF's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 55%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past HLF trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.

What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for HLF?+

The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.

How often is the HLF setup updated?+

Every 72 hours we refresh HLF's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If HLF drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.

What does the Amora Edge Score measure for HLF?+

The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to HLF: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is HLF outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. HLF currently scores 44.

How does HLF compare to other Nutrition Products & Direct Sales setups?+

HLF's sector rank and percentile against other Nutrition Products & Direct Sales tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Nutrition Products & Direct Sales Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.

Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.

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