HLTStock and Options Trade Setup — Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
NYSE · Global Hotel Brands & Hospitality Management · Moderate-liquidity options · Large cap · ~$56B
Hilton is the highest-quality asset-light compounder in global hospitality — it does not own hotels, it collects royalty fees on every room sold across its massive franchise network. This model generates 60%+ operating margins, requires minimal capex, and produces prodigious free cash flow that is almost entirely returned to shareholders through buybacks (reducing share count 5–7% annually) and dividends. Hilton Honors loyalty program with 200M+ members is the most powerful distribution moat in the industry — a customer that books through Hilton.com costs the company almost nothing to acquire, versus $40–80 for an OTA booking. RevPAR (revenue per available room) has remained resilient, driven by international leisure demand recovery, group/convention business returning, and business travel normalizing. The unit growth story is also compelling — Hilton is adding 350+ hotels per year with zero capital deployed, simply collecting development fees and future royalty streams.
Score History & Signal Changelog
Preview dataThis page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.
Signal Breakdown
Today's Trade Card
Options Profile
Risks & Fundamentals
Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move HLT against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.
- 1.RevPAR is cyclical — a consumer spending contraction or travel demand shock (pandemic, geopolitical) can rapidly compress fee revenue
- 2.OTA dependency remains significant; Expedia and Booking Holdings have structural leverage over Hilton in non-loyalty customer acquisition
- 3.Rising hotel development costs and tighter credit availability for franchisees could slow net unit growth below guidance
HLT Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions
Is HLT a good options trade today?+
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 76/100, ranking it top 23% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.
What is HLT's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+
HLT's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 73%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past HLT trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.
What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for HLT?+
The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.
How often is the HLT setup updated?+
Every 72 hours we refresh HLT's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If HLT drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.
What does the Amora Edge Score measure for HLT?+
The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to HLT: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is HLT outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. HLT currently scores 76.
How does HLT compare to other Global Hotel Brands & Hospitality Management setups?+
HLT's sector rank and percentile against other Global Hotel Brands & Hospitality Management tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Global Hotel Brands & Hospitality Management Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.
Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.
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