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Not financial advice. Algo-generated setups are not personalised investment advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss — past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Stoptions.ai›Tickers›HP
Last updated: Wed May 13, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET
↻ Next update: Sun May 17, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET

HP Stock and Options Trade Setup — Helmerich & Payne Inc.HP logo

S&P 500 · Contract Drilling (Oil & Gas) · Moderate-liquidity options · Mid cap · ~$4.3B

▲ Bullish setupEnergyOilfield ServicesDividendMedium risk↑ Score +2 vs last update
61
Amora Edge Score
61
Top 33% of today's scan
↑ +2 vs last update
Composite of EMA, RSI, RS vs SPY & volume · updated every 72h
58
HP Win Rate
58%
8 of 14 HP setups hit target in 2025–2026
Tracks completed Stoptions setups on this ticker since Jan 2026
Why we cover HP

Helmerich & Payne owns the largest and highest-quality FlexRig fleet in North American land drilling — a technological leadership that commands a $1,500-2,000/day premium over conventional rigs and a customer selection process that favours the most capital-disciplined E&P operators. H&P's automated drilling technology, rig-level software analytics, and managed pressure drilling capabilities are creating a services-plus-software business model that is structurally different from commodity drilling. The international expansion (Argentina, Bahrain, UAE) adds geography diversification to the predominantly U.S. business. Balance sheet is one of the cleanest in the oilfield services sector with net cash, enabling consistent dividends and buybacks through the commodity cycle without financial stress.

Score History & Signal Changelog

Preview data

This page is a living document — updated every 72 hours from the last scan. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot.

Score progression across 4 updates
Solid = composite · dashed = components
Signal changelog
DateUpdateScoreDeltaKey change
Apr 29#1 Created53—Page created. HP FlexRig premium intact; clean balance sheet supporting dividend through cycle.
May 4#2 Update56+3Q2 FY26 international contract wins. Managed pressure drilling adoption expanding.
May 9#3 Update59+3RS vs. OFS sector improving. Day-rate premium holding vs. conventional rig fleet.
May 13#4 Current61+2Steady recovery building. Net cash balance sheet is sector-differentiating advantage.

Signal Breakdown

EMA Cross
Active
15/25
Price above 21-day EMA; oil price stabilisation supporting rig count recovery
RSI Zone
Active
15/25
RSI at 53 — neutral-positive; international expansion diversifying from U.S. cycle
RS vs SPY
Active
16/25
Outperforming OFS peers; technology premium for FlexRig fleet expanding vs. commodity rigs
Volume Surge
Holding
15/25
1.2x 20-day average; energy allocation slowly building as oil stabilises

Today's Trade Card

Setup
HP $32 CALL
Expires Jul 18, 2026
Premium
$1.40
Target
+65% premium
Stop loss
-50% premium
Breakeven
$33.4
Win prob.
51%
Sizing: Risk <= 0.75% of account
Greeks
Delta
0.40
Theta
-0.05
IVR
30%
IVR class
Medium
Trade card available on Pro & Elite
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Options Profile

Avg IV (30d)
34%
IVR range (52-wk)
18-58%
Put/call ratio
0.72
Avg daily vol.
8K contracts
Open interest
100K contracts
Next earnings
Jul 29, 2026 (est.)

Risks & Fundamentals

Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move HP against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.

Beta
1.1
Market cap
~$4.3B
Risk level
Medium risk
Next earnings
Jul 29, 2026 (est.)
Key risks to monitor
  • 1.U.S. land rig count declining further if E&P operators reduce horizontal drilling activity in response to oil price weakness
  • 2.FlexRig commoditisation as competitor rig fleets modernise to comparable specifications
  • 3.Natural gas drilling activity remaining depressed if Haynesville and Appalachian natural gas prices stay below operator economics
These are real risks to the long thesis, not a recommendation to short. Stoptions setups are short-dated and stop-protected; size accordingly.

HP Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions

Is HP a good options trade today?+

Helmerich & Payne Inc. (HP) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 61/100, ranking it top 33% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.

What is HP's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+

HP's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 58%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past HP trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.

What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for HP?+

The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.

How often is the HP setup updated?+

Every 72 hours we refresh HP's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If HP drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.

What does the Amora Edge Score measure for HP?+

The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to HP: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is HP outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. HP currently scores 61.

How does HP compare to other Contract Drilling (Oil & Gas) setups?+

HP's sector rank and percentile against other Contract Drilling (Oil & Gas) tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Contract Drilling (Oil & Gas) Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.

Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.

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