HRL Stock and Options Trade Setup — Hormel Foods Corporation
S&P 500 · Consumer Packaged Foods · Moderate-liquidity options · Large cap · ~$17B
Hormel is a 57-year Dividend King that has raised its dividend without interruption since 1967 — a record that institutional income funds are structurally required to hold. After a difficult 2022-2024 period marked by avian influenza decimating its turkey operations (Jennie-O), commodity inflation, and Chinese pork market challenges, the recovery is now underway with avian flu pressure abating and Jennie-O flock restocking largely complete. The Planters and Columbus brand additions have diversified Hormel's protein dependency and added snacking exposure. At sub-13x forward earnings with a 3.5%+ dividend yield, Hormel offers a level of income security — backed by 57 years of unbroken dividend growth — that is extraordinarily rare at current valuations.
Score History & Signal Changelog
Preview dataThis page is a living document — updated every 72 hours from the last scan. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot.
Signal Breakdown
Today's Trade Card
Options Profile
Risks & Fundamentals
Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move HRL against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.
- 1.Avian influenza resurgence disrupting Jennie-O turkey operations a second time, repeating the earnings impact of 2022-2023
- 2.Consumer shift away from processed and branded foods toward fresh perimeter items and private label accelerating
- 3.China SPAM and Skippy operations underperforming if Chinese consumer confidence remains suppressed
HRL Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions
Is HRL a good options trade today?+
Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 62/100, ranking it top 31% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.
What is HRL's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+
HRL's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 59%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past HRL trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.
What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for HRL?+
The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.
How often is the HRL setup updated?+
Every 72 hours we refresh HRL's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If HRL drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.
What does the Amora Edge Score measure for HRL?+
The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to HRL: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is HRL outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. HRL currently scores 62.
How does HRL compare to other Consumer Packaged Foods setups?+
HRL's sector rank and percentile against other Consumer Packaged Foods tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Consumer Packaged Foods Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.
Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.
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