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Stoptions.ai›Tickers›IBM
Last updated: Friday, May 22, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET
↻ Next update: Monday, May 25, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET

IBMStock and Options Trade Setup — International Business Machines CorporationIBM logo

NYSE · Hybrid Cloud & AI Enterprise IT Services · High-liquidity options · Large cap · ~$215B

▲ Bullish setupTechnologyEnterprise AILow risk↑ Score +3 vs last update
72
Amora Edge Score
72
Top 30% of today's scan
↑ +3 vs last update
Composite of EMA, RSI, RS vs SPY & volume · updated every 72h
70
IBM Win Rate
70%
8 of 11 IBM setups hit target in 2026
Tracks completed Stoptions setups on this ticker since Jan 2026
Why we cover IBM

IBM's transformation story is finally credible — Red Hat's OpenShift hybrid cloud platform has become the enterprise standard for companies running workloads across on-premise data centers and multiple public clouds, a market that is enormous and structurally growing. The watsonx AI platform is gaining genuine traction in regulated industries (banking, insurance, government) where proprietary on-premise AI deployment is preferred over public cloud AI services. IBM's consulting arm is selling AI implementation services that create sticky, high-revenue engagements. After two decades of revenue decline, IBM has returned to growth in its software segment — the highest-quality portion of the business. The dividend (4%+ yield) is well-covered and growing, and the stock has quietly re-rated as software revenue becomes the dominant earnings driver. It is the most defensive way to own enterprise AI infrastructure.

Score History & Signal Changelog

Preview data

This page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.

Score progression across 4 updates
Solid = composite · dashed = components
Signal Changelog
DateUpdateScoreDeltaKey change
May 5#1 Created60—Page created. Software re-rating thesis building on Red Hat OpenShift growth data.
May 9#2 Update64+4watsonx enterprise deals announced. Consulting AI bookings above expectations.
May 14#3 Update68+4Volume above average. Hybrid cloud narrative gaining mainstream institutional support.
May 19#4 Current72+4All signals active. Enterprise AI infrastructure confirmed in Strong tier.

Signal Breakdown

EMA Cross
Active
19/25
Above both EMAs; software-led transformation thesis driving steady uptrend
RSI Zone
Active
17/25
RSI at 61 — momentum zone; enterprise AI adoption narrative supportive
RS vs SPY
Active
18/25
Outperforming SPY +2.2pp; defensive tech rotation amplifying IBM's re-rating
Volume Surge
Active
18/25
1.6× 20-day avg; institutional accumulation on software growth inflection

Today's Trade Card

Setup
IBM $245 CALL
Expires Jul 18, 2026
Premium
$5.60
Target
+65% premium
Stop loss
-42% premium
Breakeven
$250.6
Win prob.
56%
Sizing: Risk ≤ 1% of account
Greeks
Delta
0.40
Theta
-0.11
IVR
20%
IVR class
Low
Loading…

Options Profile

Avg IV (30d)
24%
IVR range (52-wk)
14–40%
Put/call ratio
0.74
Avg daily vol.
16K contracts
Open interest
200K contracts
Next earnings
Jul 23, 2026 (est.)

Risks & Fundamentals

Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move IBM against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.

Beta
0.7
Market cap
~$215B
Risk level
Low risk
Next earnings
Jul 23, 2026 (est.)
Key risks to monitor
  • 1.Red Hat OpenShift faces competition from AWS EKS, Azure AKS, and Google GKE — hyperscalers have significant distribution advantages
  • 2.Consulting revenue is cyclical; enterprise IT budget freezes during economic slowdowns can compress consulting bookings rapidly
  • 3.Legacy mainframe and IT services revenue continues a slow secular decline that software growth must outpace to sustain total revenue growth
These are real risks to the long thesis, not a recommendation to short. Stoptions setups are short-dated and stop-protected; size accordingly.

IBM Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions

Is IBM a good options trade today?+

International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 72/100, ranking it top 30% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.

What is IBM's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+

IBM's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 70%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past IBM trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.

What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for IBM?+

The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.

How often is the IBM setup updated?+

Every 72 hours we refresh IBM's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If IBM drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.

What does the Amora Edge Score measure for IBM?+

The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to IBM: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is IBM outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. IBM currently scores 72.

How does IBM compare to other Hybrid Cloud & AI Enterprise IT Services setups?+

IBM's sector rank and percentile against other Hybrid Cloud & AI Enterprise IT Services tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Hybrid Cloud & AI Enterprise IT Services Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.

Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.

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