KDP Stock and Options Trade Setup — Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
Nasdaq · Non-Alcoholic Beverages & Coffee Systems · Moderate-high options liquidity · Large cap · ~$51B
KDP has a unique portfolio straddling two high-loyalty categories: the Keurig at-home coffee machine ecosystem (110M+ U.S. households, recurring pod revenue) and a diverse portfolio of cold beverages with leading positions in Dr Pepper, a growing Hispanic demographic brand, and Canada Dry. The merger debt overhang that long suppressed the multiple has been progressively reduced, with leverage now approaching investment-grade targets and refinancing risk diminishing. Dr Pepper's market share gains vs. Pepsi in CSD are structural and continue in scanner data. The JAB Holding Company reduction in stake — while a technical overhang — signals confidence in the independent go-forward strategy. Revenue management pricing has been executed more surgically than peers, maintaining volume while rebuilding margins post-COVID commodity inflation.
Score History & Signal Changelog
Preview dataThis page is a living document — updated every 72 hours from the last scan. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot.
Signal Breakdown
Today's Trade Card
Options Profile
Risks & Fundamentals
Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move KDP against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.
- 1.Coffee pod competition from Amazon Basics and store brands pressures Keurig margins
- 2.Consumer down-trading on premium beverages in economic slowdown
- 3.Remaining JAB Holding stake creates periodic equity overhang from secondary sales
KDP Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions
Is KDP a good options trade today?+
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 69/100, ranking it top 40%. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.
What is KDP's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+
KDP's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 64%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past KDP trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.
What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for KDP?+
The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.
How often is the KDP setup updated?+
Every 72 hours we refresh KDP's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If KDP drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.
What does the Amora Edge Score measure for KDP?+
The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to KDP: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is KDP outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. KDP currently scores 69.
How does KDP compare to other Non-Alcoholic Beverages & Coffee Systems setups?+
KDP's sector rank and percentile against other Non-Alcoholic Beverages & Coffee Systems tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Non-Alcoholic Beverages & Coffee Systems Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.
Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.
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