KEY Stock and Options Trade Setup — KeyCorp
NYSE · Regional Banking — Great Lakes & Midwest · High options liquidity · Large cap · ~$17B
KeyCorp experienced a significant capital and earnings reset in 2023-24 driven by a large unrealized securities loss portfolio built during the zero-rate environment. The company's decision to accelerate the sale of those securities — taking upfront losses to rebuild net interest income and eliminate the overhang — was a surgical and ultimately correct strategic call. Scotiabank's strategic minority investment provided external validation of the franchise value and capital confidence. With the securities portfolio now de-risked and NII rebuilding as the rate cycle matures, KEY's earnings are set up for above-average recovery growth relative to peers who have yet to address similar issues. KeyBanc Capital Markets provides a fee income engine that most regional banks cannot match — equity underwriting and M&A advisory fees are highly levered to deal activity that is now recovering.
Score History & Signal Changelog
Preview dataThis page is a living document — updated every 72 hours from the last scan. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot.
Signal Breakdown
Today's Trade Card
Options Profile
Risks & Fundamentals
Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move KEY against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.
- 1.Commercial real estate loan book has elevated office exposure
- 2.Net interest income recovery is rate-sensitive — more Fed cuts than expected hurt the thesis
- 3.Investment banking revenue is lumpy and cycle-dependent
KEY Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions
Is KEY a good options trade today?+
KeyCorp (KEY) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 71/100, ranking it top 25%. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.
What is KEY's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+
KEY's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 65%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past KEY trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.
What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for KEY?+
The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.
How often is the KEY setup updated?+
Every 72 hours we refresh KEY's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If KEY drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.
What does the Amora Edge Score measure for KEY?+
The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to KEY: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is KEY outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. KEY currently scores 71.
How does KEY compare to other Regional Banking — Great Lakes & Midwest setups?+
KEY's sector rank and percentile against other Regional Banking — Great Lakes & Midwest tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Regional Banking — Great Lakes & Midwest Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.
Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.
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