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Not financial advice. Algo-generated setups are not personalised investment advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss — past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Stoptions.ai›Tickers›MCD
Last updated: Fri May 15, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET
↻ Next update: Thu, May 21, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET

MCDStock and Options Trade Setup — McDonald's CorporationMCD logo

NYSE · Consumer Discretionary (Quick-Service Restaurants) · Very high-liquidity options · Mega cap · ~$220B

▲ Bullish setupConsumer DiscretionaryQSRDividend AristocratLow risk↑ Score +3 vs last update
68
Amora Edge Score
68
Top 23% of today's scan
↑ +3 vs last update
Composite of EMA, RSI, RS vs SPY & volume · updated every 72h
66
MCD Win Rate
66%
14 of 21 MCD setups hit target in 2025-2026
Tracks completed Stoptions setups on this ticker since Jan 2026
Why we cover MCD

McDonald's is the highest-quality QSR globally — a near-pure franchise economic model where 95% of restaurants are franchisee-owned, producing high-margin, recurring royalty and rent revenue with limited operational risk. The U.S. comparable sales softness through 2024-2025 (driven by lower-income consumer trade-down) is bottoming as McDonald's reintroduces aggressive value menus, deploys $5 Meal Deal nationally, and accelerates digital + loyalty program growth (160M+ loyalty members). International market comp performance has remained robust, particularly in IDL (International Developmental Licensed) markets. Margins are structurally industry-leading. Real estate ownership of franchised locations provides additional asset value not always reflected in EPS-based valuations. Dividend is rock-solid with 47+ consecutive annual increases (Dividend Aristocrat). Beta is among the lowest in consumer discretionary. Risk profile is low. Options liquidity is excellent; medium-duration directional setups around comp-sales recovery catalysts have been productive.

Score History & Signal Changelog

Preview data

This page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.

Score progression across 4 updates
Solid = composite · dashed = components
Signal Changelog
DateUpdateScoreDeltaKey change
May 1#1 Created60—Page created. Q1 U.S. comps recovering; $5 Meal Deal driving traffic.
May 5#2 Update63+3EMA structure constructive. International comps strong.
May 10#3 Update66+3RS rank improving vs QSR peers. Loyalty programme growing.
May 15#4 Current68+2All four signals Active. Defensive Aristocrat setup intact.

Signal Breakdown

EMA Cross
Active
17/25
21-day EMA above 50-day; trend slope steady
RSI Zone
Active
17/25
RSI at 60 — supportive momentum, room to run
RS vs SPY
Active
17/25
Outperforming SPY +2.4pp; QSR cohort leader
Volume Surge
Active
17/25
1.3x 20-day average on advance days; institutional accumulation

Today's Trade Card

Setup
MCD $320 CALL
Expires Jul 18, 2026
Premium
$5.40
Target
+55% premium
Stop loss
-35% premium
Breakeven
$325.4
Win prob.
58%
Sizing: Risk <= 1% of account
Greeks
Delta
0.46
Theta
-0.10
IVR
20%
IVR class
Low
Trade card available on Pro & Elite
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Options Profile

Avg IV (30d)
20%
IVR range (52-wk)
10-38%
Put/call ratio
0.66
Avg daily vol.
38K contracts
Open interest
520K contracts
Next earnings
Jul 28, 2026 (est.)

Risks & Fundamentals

Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move MCD against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.

Beta
0.7
Market cap
~$220B
Risk level
Low risk
Next earnings
Jul 28, 2026 (est.)
Key risks to monitor
  • 1.U.S. low-income consumer trade-down extending if minimum wage / inflation pressures persist
  • 2.GLP-1 weight-loss drug adoption reducing per-capita QSR meal frequency
  • 3.Franchisee profitability pressure raising royalty / rent renegotiation risk
These are real risks to the long thesis, not a recommendation to short. Stoptions setups are short-dated and stop-protected; size accordingly.

MCD Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions

Is MCD a good options trade today?+

McDonald's Corporation (MCD) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 68/100, ranking it top 23% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.

What is MCD's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+

MCD's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 66%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past MCD trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.

What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for MCD?+

The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.

How often is the MCD setup updated?+

Every 72 hours we refresh MCD's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If MCD drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.

What does the Amora Edge Score measure for MCD?+

The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to MCD: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is MCD outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. MCD currently scores 68.

How does MCD compare to other Consumer Discretionary (Quick-Service Restaurants) setups?+

MCD's sector rank and percentile against other Consumer Discretionary (Quick-Service Restaurants) tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Consumer Discretionary (Quick-Service Restaurants) Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.

Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.

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