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Not financial advice. Algo-generated setups are not personalised investment advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss — past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Stoptions.ai›Tickers›MCHP
Last updated: Fri May 15, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET
↻ Next update: Thu, May 21, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET

MCHPStock and Options Trade Setup — Microchip Technology IncorporatedMCHP logo

Nasdaq · Semiconductors (Microcontrollers & Analog) · High-liquidity options · Large cap · ~$35B

▲ Bullish setupTechnologySemiconductorsMedium risk↑ Score +5 vs last update
72
Amora Edge Score
72
Top 18% of today's scan
↑ +5 vs last update
Composite of EMA, RSI, RS vs SPY & volume · updated every 72h
66
MCHP Win Rate
66%
14 of 21 MCHP setups hit target in 2025-2026
Tracks completed Stoptions setups on this ticker since Jan 2026
Why we cover MCHP

Microchip Technology is at the cycle-trough inflection of industrial and automotive semiconductor demand. The 2024-2025 industrial destocking cycle compressed revenue by ~40% peak-to-trough, but channel inventory has now normalised and incoming orders have begun to firm up across all major end markets. The structural growth thesis remains intact: every industrial, automotive, medical, and aerospace device requires increasing semiconductor content, and Microchip's broad portfolio of MCUs, FPGAs (via Microsemi), and analog products is well-positioned to capture this multi-decade increase in semiconductor intensity. Management has been disciplined with capital: aggressive debt paydown through the trough, plus consistent share buybacks at depressed valuations. As bookings recover and gross margin re-expands toward 65%+, operating leverage compounds significantly. Risk profile remains moderate, tied to industrial / automotive cycles. Options are highly liquid with elevated IVR.

Score History & Signal Changelog

Preview data

This page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.

Score progression across 4 updates
Solid = composite · dashed = components
Signal Changelog
DateUpdateScoreDeltaKey change
May 1#1 Created60—Page created. Q1 bookings finally positive; channel inventory normalised.
May 5#2 Update64+4EMA structure constructive. Gross margin starting to expand.
May 10#3 Update68+4RS rank improving vs semi peers. Automotive segment +6% sequentially.
May 15#4 Current72+4All four signals Active. Cycle inflection thesis playing out.

Signal Breakdown

EMA Cross
Active
19/25
21-day EMA cleanly above 50-day; trend slope steepening
RSI Zone
Active
18/25
RSI at 64 — strong momentum, room before overbought
RS vs SPY
Active
18/25
Outperforming SPY +4.0pp; semis cohort lift visible
Volume Surge
Active
17/25
1.5x 20-day average on advance days; institutional accumulation

Today's Trade Card

Setup
MCHP $70 CALL
Expires Jun 20, 2026
Premium
$2.40
Target
+70% premium
Stop loss
-45% premium
Breakeven
$72.4
Win prob.
54%
Sizing: Risk <= 1% of account
Greeks
Delta
0.44
Theta
-0.05
IVR
36%
IVR class
Medium
Trade card available on Pro & Elite
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Options Profile

Avg IV (30d)
36%
IVR range (52-wk)
20-68%
Put/call ratio
0.66
Avg daily vol.
22K contracts
Open interest
320K contracts
Next earnings
Aug 5, 2026 (est.)

Risks & Fundamentals

Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move MCHP against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.

Beta
1.4
Market cap
~$35B
Risk level
Medium risk
Next earnings
Aug 5, 2026 (est.)
Key risks to monitor
  • 1.Industrial cycle recovery stalling out before re-acceleration phase
  • 2.Automotive production weakness extending into late 2026
  • 3.China end-market demand remaining soft as local competition intensifies
These are real risks to the long thesis, not a recommendation to short. Stoptions setups are short-dated and stop-protected; size accordingly.

MCHP Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions

Is MCHP a good options trade today?+

Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 72/100, ranking it top 18% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.

What is MCHP's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+

MCHP's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 66%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past MCHP trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.

What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for MCHP?+

The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.

How often is the MCHP setup updated?+

Every 72 hours we refresh MCHP's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If MCHP drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.

What does the Amora Edge Score measure for MCHP?+

The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to MCHP: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is MCHP outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. MCHP currently scores 72.

How does MCHP compare to other Semiconductors (Microcontrollers & Analog) setups?+

MCHP's sector rank and percentile against other Semiconductors (Microcontrollers & Analog) tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Semiconductors (Microcontrollers & Analog) Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.

Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.

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