MRCYStock and Options Trade Setup — Mercury Systems, Inc.
Nasdaq · Defense Electronics & Mission Computing · Low-liquidity options · Mid cap · ~$2.1B
Mercury Systems occupies a strategically valuable niche in the defense electronics supply chain — it is the primary commercial-off-the-shelf (COTS) processing technology integrator bridging the gap between Silicon Valley's fastest commercial silicon and the trusted, hardened electronics required for military platforms. DoD is actively incentivizing the use of COTS technology in defense systems to reduce costs and accelerate upgrade cycles, and Mercury is the primary beneficiary. Programs tied to radar modernization, electronic warfare, and hypersonic threat defense are multi-billion-dollar multi-decade platforms with Mercury embedded at the subsystem level. After several years of cost overruns and execution challenges following the IA&E acquisition, management has stabilized operations and is executing on a profitability recovery. The discount to peers is an opportunity if that recovery delivers.
Score History & Signal Changelog
Preview dataThis page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.
Signal Breakdown
Today's Trade Card
Options Profile
Risks & Fundamentals
Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move MRCY against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.
- 1.Execution risk remains elevated after prior program challenges; cost overruns on fixed-price defense contracts have historically impacted quarterly results
- 2.Customer concentration — a small number of prime contractors (Raytheon, Lockheed, Northrop) account for the majority of revenue
- 3.Defense budget prioritization could shift away from the electronic warfare and radar modernization programs where Mercury is most embedded
MRCY Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions
Is MRCY a good options trade today?+
Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 62/100, ranking it top 47% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a developing setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.
What is MRCY's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+
MRCY's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 63%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past MRCY trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.
What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for MRCY?+
The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.
How often is the MRCY setup updated?+
Every 72 hours we refresh MRCY's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If MRCY drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.
What does the Amora Edge Score measure for MRCY?+
The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to MRCY: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is MRCY outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. MRCY currently scores 62.
How does MRCY compare to other Defense Electronics & Mission Computing setups?+
MRCY's sector rank and percentile against other Defense Electronics & Mission Computing tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Defense Electronics & Mission Computing Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.
Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.
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