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Not financial advice. Algo-generated setups are not personalised investment advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss — past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Stoptions.ai›Tickers›MSFT
Last updated: Fri May 15, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET
↻ Next update: Mon, May 18, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET

MSFTStock and Options Trade Setup — Microsoft CorporationMSFT logo

Nasdaq 100 · Technology (Cloud, AI, Productivity & Gaming) · Very high-liquidity options · Mega cap · ~$3.2T

▲ Bullish setupTechnologyAICloudLow risk↑ Score +4 vs last update
87
Amora Edge Score
87
Top 4% of today's scan
↑ +4 vs last update
Composite of EMA, RSI, RS vs SPY & volume · updated every 72h
79
MSFT Win Rate
79%
23 of 29 MSFT setups hit target in 2025-2026
Tracks completed Stoptions setups on this ticker since Jan 2026
Why we cover MSFT

Microsoft is the most strategically positioned mega-cap in the AI cycle. The OpenAI partnership provides preferential access to frontier models, the Azure cloud platform monetises both AI training capacity AND inference workloads, Microsoft 365 Copilot rolls AI seat economics across hundreds of millions of subscribers, and GitHub Copilot extends AI into developer workflows. Azure has emerged as the most direct cloud beneficiary of the AI capex cycle, with growth re-accelerating into the mid-30s on AI workload demand. Operating margins remain industry-best at 40%+ company-wide, with operating leverage compounding as AI infrastructure utilisation rises. Capital return has been disciplined with consistent buybacks plus a modest dividend. Risk profile is moderate, tied to AI capex digestion timing and enterprise software spending. Options are extremely liquid; medium-duration directional setups around earnings cycles and AI product launches have been highly productive.

Score History & Signal Changelog

Preview data

This page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.

Score progression across 4 updates
Solid = composite · dashed = components
Signal Changelog
DateUpdateScoreDeltaKey change
May 1#1 Created76—Page created. Q1 Azure +33% constant currency; Copilot ARR record.
May 5#2 Update80+4EMA structure at multi-quarter high. AI capex guidance reaffirmed.
May 10#3 Update84+4RS rank top 5% globally. Enterprise Copilot seats accelerating.
May 15#4 Current87+3All four signals Active. AI compounder thesis intact.

Signal Breakdown

EMA Cross
Active
22/25
21-day EMA accelerating above 50-day; trend slope at multi-quarter peak
RSI Zone
Active
21/25
RSI at 68 — strong momentum, watch for 72+ overbought
RS vs SPY
Active
22/25
Outperforming SPY +6.0pp; AI cohort leader
Volume Surge
Active
22/25
1.7x 20-day average; institutional accumulation confirmed

Today's Trade Card

Setup
MSFT $470 CALL
Expires Jun 20, 2026
Premium
$9.20
Target
+60% premium
Stop loss
-40% premium
Breakeven
$479.2
Win prob.
58%
Sizing: Risk <= 1.5% of account
Greeks
Delta
0.45
Theta
-0.16
IVR
22%
IVR class
Low
Trade card available on Pro & Elite
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Options Profile

Avg IV (30d)
22%
IVR range (52-wk)
12-44%
Put/call ratio
0.62
Avg daily vol.
380K contracts
Open interest
5.4M contracts
Next earnings
Jul 28, 2026 (est.)

Risks & Fundamentals

Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move MSFT against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.

Beta
0.9
Market cap
~$3.2T
Risk level
Low risk
Next earnings
Jul 28, 2026 (est.)
Key risks to monitor
  • 1.AI capex digestion phase compressing Azure AI workload growth
  • 2.OpenAI partnership economics shifting unfavourably as model commoditisation accelerates
  • 3.Copilot seat attach rates plateauing below modelled enterprise penetration
These are real risks to the long thesis, not a recommendation to short. Stoptions setups are short-dated and stop-protected; size accordingly.

MSFT Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions

Is MSFT a good options trade today?+

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 87/100, ranking it top 4% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.

What is MSFT's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+

MSFT's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 79%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past MSFT trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.

What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for MSFT?+

The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.

How often is the MSFT setup updated?+

Every 72 hours we refresh MSFT's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If MSFT drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.

What does the Amora Edge Score measure for MSFT?+

The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to MSFT: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is MSFT outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. MSFT currently scores 87.

How does MSFT compare to other Technology (Cloud, AI, Productivity & Gaming) setups?+

MSFT's sector rank and percentile against other Technology (Cloud, AI, Productivity & Gaming) tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Technology (Cloud, AI, Productivity & Gaming) Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.

Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.

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