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Not financial advice. Algo-generated setups are not personalised investment advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss — past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Stoptions.ai›Tickers›MTB
Last updated: Fri May 15, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET
↻ Next update: Thu, May 21, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET

MTBStock and Options Trade Setup — M&T Bank CorporationMTB logo

NYSE · Financials (Regional Banking — Northeast) · Moderate-liquidity options · Large cap · ~$30B

▲ Bullish setupFinancialsRegional BankMedium risk↑ Score +4 vs last update
70
Amora Edge Score
70
Top 20% of today's scan
↑ +4 vs last update
Composite of EMA, RSI, RS vs SPY & volume · updated every 72h
66
MTB Win Rate
66%
13 of 20 MTB setups hit target in 2025-2026
Tracks completed Stoptions setups on this ticker since Jan 2026
Why we cover MTB

M&T Bank is one of the highest-quality U.S. regional banks. Conservative underwriting culture has historically delivered industry-leading credit performance through cycles, and the Northeast footprint provides deposit franchise stability. The People's United acquisition (closed 2022) expanded the bank into New England and added scale that supports operating leverage. Net interest margin has expanded as deposit pricing pressure subsided through 2024-2025 and earning asset yields continue compounding. Commercial real estate exposure (particularly office) remains a watch-item but reserves have been built and recent quarters show stable trends. Capital return has been disciplined with consistent buybacks and dividend growth. As regional bank stress tests confirm capital adequacy and the regulatory environment normalises, MTB is positioned as a top-quality vehicle for regional bank exposure. Options liquidity is moderate; medium-duration directional setups around CRE clarity have been productive.

Score History & Signal Changelog

Preview data

This page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.

Score progression across 4 updates
Solid = composite · dashed = components
Signal Changelog
DateUpdateScoreDeltaKey change
May 1#1 Created60—Page created. Q1 NIM expansion sustained; credit trends stable.
May 5#2 Update64+4EMA structure constructive. CRE concerns moderating.
May 10#3 Update67+3RS rank improving vs regional bank peers. Buyback pace solid.
May 15#4 Current70+3All four signals Active. Quality regional bank thesis intact.

Signal Breakdown

EMA Cross
Active
18/25
21-day EMA above 50-day; trend slope steepening
RSI Zone
Active
17/25
RSI at 62 — solid momentum, room before overbought
RS vs SPY
Active
18/25
Outperforming SPY +3.4pp; regional bank cohort leader
Volume Surge
Active
17/25
1.4x 20-day average on advance days; institutional accumulation

Today's Trade Card

Setup
MTB $200 CALL
Expires Jul 18, 2026
Premium
$5.20
Target
+65% premium
Stop loss
-40% premium
Breakeven
$205.2
Win prob.
56%
Sizing: Risk <= 1% of account
Greeks
Delta
0.45
Theta
-0.09
IVR
28%
IVR class
Low
Trade card available on Pro & Elite
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Options Profile

Avg IV (30d)
28%
IVR range (52-wk)
16-52%
Put/call ratio
0.66
Avg daily vol.
4.5K contracts
Open interest
64K contracts
Next earnings
Jul 16, 2026 (est.)

Risks & Fundamentals

Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move MTB against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.

Beta
1.1
Market cap
~$30B
Risk level
Medium risk
Next earnings
Jul 16, 2026 (est.)
Key risks to monitor
  • 1.Commercial real estate (especially office) credit losses overshooting reserves
  • 2.Net interest margin compression if Fed cuts faster than deposit re-pricing follows
  • 3.Regional bank regulatory scrutiny intensifying around CRE concentration
These are real risks to the long thesis, not a recommendation to short. Stoptions setups are short-dated and stop-protected; size accordingly.

MTB Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions

Is MTB a good options trade today?+

M&T Bank Corporation (MTB) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 70/100, ranking it top 20% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.

What is MTB's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+

MTB's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 66%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past MTB trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.

What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for MTB?+

The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.

How often is the MTB setup updated?+

Every 72 hours we refresh MTB's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If MTB drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.

What does the Amora Edge Score measure for MTB?+

The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to MTB: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is MTB outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. MTB currently scores 70.

How does MTB compare to other Financials (Regional Banking — Northeast) setups?+

MTB's sector rank and percentile against other Financials (Regional Banking — Northeast) tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Financials (Regional Banking — Northeast) Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.

Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.

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