MTHStock and Options Trade Setup — Meritage Homes Corporation
NYSE · Consumer Cyclical (Homebuilder — Entry-Level) · Moderate-liquidity options · Mid cap · ~$6B
Meritage Homes is one of the cleanest pure-plays on U.S. entry-level housing demand. The structural shortage of affordable homes for first-time buyers (estimated 4M+ unit deficit) provides multi-year demand visibility, and Meritage's product mix is overwhelmingly skewed toward sub-$450K home prices where demand is most resilient. Sunbelt concentration provides above-average population and employment growth tailwinds. The 2024-2025 affordability pressures (high mortgage rates compressing affordability) are now easing as rate cuts begin filtering through, and builder mortgage rate-buydown programmes have proven effective at maintaining sales pace. Gross margins remain healthy as land cost inflation moderates. Operating leverage is meaningful as community count and absorption pace recover. Capital allocation has been disciplined with consistent buybacks reducing share count. Risk profile is moderate, tied to mortgage rates and consumer credit. Options liquidity is moderate; medium-duration directional setups around housing data have been productive.
Score History & Signal Changelog
Preview dataThis page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.
Signal Breakdown
Today's Trade Card
Options Profile
Risks & Fundamentals
Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move MTH against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.
- 1.Mortgage rates re-spiking and compressing absorption pace
- 2.Builder rate-buydown costs rising as 30-year mortgage rates increase
- 3.Land cost inflation outpacing pricing power in any major Sunbelt metro
MTH Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions
Is MTH a good options trade today?+
Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 67/100, ranking it top 26% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.
What is MTH's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+
MTH's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 62%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past MTH trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.
What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for MTH?+
The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.
How often is the MTH setup updated?+
Every 72 hours we refresh MTH's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If MTH drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.
What does the Amora Edge Score measure for MTH?+
The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to MTH: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is MTH outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. MTH currently scores 67.
How does MTH compare to other Consumer Cyclical (Homebuilder — Entry-Level) setups?+
MTH's sector rank and percentile against other Consumer Cyclical (Homebuilder — Entry-Level) tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Consumer Cyclical (Homebuilder — Entry-Level) Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.
Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.
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