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Not financial advice. Algo-generated setups are not personalised investment advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss — past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Stoptions.ai›Tickers›NSC
Last updated: Wed May 13, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET
↻ Next update: Sun May 17, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET

NSC Stock and Options Trade Setup — Norfolk Southern CorporationNSC logo

S&P 500 · Transportation (Class I Railroad) · Moderate-liquidity options · Large cap · ~$55B

▲ Bullish setupIndustrialsTransportationRailroadMedium risk↑ Score +3 vs last update
72
Amora Edge Score
72
Top 18% of today's scan
↑ +3 vs last update
Composite of EMA, RSI, RS vs SPY & volume · updated every 72h
68
NSC Win Rate
68%
11 of 16 NSC setups hit target in 2025–2026
Tracks completed Stoptions setups on this ticker since Jan 2026
Why we cover NSC

Norfolk Southern is a textbook wide-moat compounder: its rail network is geographically irreplaceable, and the economics of freight rail (70% lower carbon per ton-mile than trucking, dramatically lower fuel costs per unit moved) make it structurally favoured as supply chains prioritise cost and sustainability simultaneously. The company is in the middle of a precision scheduled railroading (PSR) transformation under new CEO Mark George — a process that has historically driven operating ratio improvement of 10-15 percentage points over 3-5 years at peers (Canadian Pacific, CSX). Norfolk Southern's OR of 67%+ has significant room to compress versus best-in-class peers at 57-60%. The East Palestine derailment created a headline overhang that depressed the stock, but remediation costs are now largely quantified, and the fundamental railroad asset is unchanged. At 16x forward earnings, NSC offers a quality compounder at a reasonable valuation vs. its own history.

Score History & Signal Changelog

Preview data

This page is a living document — updated every 72 hours from the last scan. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot.

Score progression across 4 updates
Solid = composite · dashed = components
Signal changelog
DateUpdateScoreDeltaKey change
Apr 29#1 Created62—Page created. NSC PSR transformation underway; East Palestine overhang creating entry opportunity.
May 4#2 Update66+4OR improvement to 66.8% — tracking PSR targets. East Palestine reserve stable.
May 9#3 Update69+3Intermodal volume recovery accelerating. Merchandise pricing ahead of consensus.
May 13#4 Current72+3Momentum building. Class I railroad moat at reasonable valuation; PSR catalyst intact.

Signal Breakdown

EMA Cross
Active
18/25
Price above 21-day EMA; industrial recovery + PSR narrative driving rail sector rotation
RSI Zone
Active
18/25
RSI at 61 — solid momentum; East Palestine overhang fading as costs quantified
RS vs SPY
Active
19/25
Outperforming transportation peers as PSR transformation discount vs. peers narrows
Volume Surge
Active
17/25
1.3x 20-day average; institutional buyers returning as East Palestine liability risk recedes

Today's Trade Card

Setup
NSC $250 CALL
Expires Jun 20, 2026
Premium
$7.00
Target
+65% premium
Stop loss
-40% premium
Breakeven
$257
Win prob.
54%
Sizing: Risk <= 1.0% of account
Greeks
Delta
0.42
Theta
-0.17
IVR
24%
IVR class
Low
Trade card available on Pro & Elite
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Options Profile

Avg IV (30d)
22%
IVR range (52-wk)
13-42%
Put/call ratio
0.55
Avg daily vol.
14K contracts
Open interest
180K contracts
Next earnings
Jul 23, 2026 (est.)

Risks & Fundamentals

Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move NSC against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.

Beta
1.0
Market cap
~$55B
Risk level
Medium risk
Next earnings
Jul 23, 2026 (est.)
Key risks to monitor
  • 1.East Palestine-related litigation and regulatory compliance costs exceeding current reserve estimates
  • 2.Volume sensitivity to coal decline (still 15% of revenue) as utility coal consumption continues structural decline
  • 3.PSR execution risk if operating ratio improvement stalls or service deterioration triggers customer defection to trucking
These are real risks to the long thesis, not a recommendation to short. Stoptions setups are short-dated and stop-protected; size accordingly.

NSC Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions

Is NSC a good options trade today?+

Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 72/100, ranking it top 18% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.

What is NSC's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+

NSC's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 68%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past NSC trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.

What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for NSC?+

The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.

How often is the NSC setup updated?+

Every 72 hours we refresh NSC's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If NSC drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.

What does the Amora Edge Score measure for NSC?+

The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to NSC: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is NSC outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. NSC currently scores 72.

How does NSC compare to other Transportation (Class I Railroad) setups?+

NSC's sector rank and percentile against other Transportation (Class I Railroad) tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Transportation (Class I Railroad) Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.

Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.

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