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Not financial advice. Algo-generated setups are not personalised investment advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss — past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Stoptions.ai›Tickers›NVDA
Last updated: 2026-05-13 13:46:52
↻ Next update: Thu May 15, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET

NVDA Stock and Options Trade Setup — NVIDIA CorporationNVDA logo

Nasdaq 100 · AI Semiconductors & GPU Computing · Extremely high-liquidity options · Mega cap · ~$3.3T

▲ Bullish setupTechnologyAI chipsMedium risk↑ Score 0 vs last update
88
Amora Edge Score
88
Top 4% of today's scan
↑ +0 vs last update
Composite of EMA, RSI, RS vs SPY & volume · updated every 72h
83
NVDA Win Rate
83%
No closed NVDA setups yet
Tracks completed Stoptions setups on this ticker since Jan 2026
Why we cover NVDA

NVIDIA is the picks-and-shovels play of the AI capex cycle. Every model training run, every inference deployment, and every new hyperscaler data center is buying NVIDIA silicon. With ~80% market share in AI accelerators, exceptional gross margins (~75%), and a multi-year product roadmap (Hopper, Blackwell, Rubin), it remains the highest-conviction long-term beneficiary of compute demand. Earnings continue to beat consensus by wide margins despite the law of large numbers, fuelling consistent re-rating. The options market is the most liquid in U.S. equities by daily contract volume, with tight spreads and deep open interest across all expiries. Momentum-driven, earnings-sensitive, and well-suited to short-dated directional plays — NVDA is a constant fixture in Stoptions setups.

Score History & Signal Changelog

Preview data

This page is a living document — updated every 72 hours from the last scan. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot.

Score progression across 3 updates
Solid = composite · dashed = components
Signal changelog
DateUpdateScoreDeltaKey change
Apr 27#1 Created78—Page created. Post-earnings gap-up held; momentum structure intact.
May 3#2 Update83+5All signals strengthening. Volume surged on broad AI capex news.
May 7#3 Update88+5RS rank hit top 5% globally. RSI 82 — strong trend, monitor for reversal.
May 11#4 Current91+3Highest composite in current scan batch. All signals at or near peak strength.

Signal Breakdown

EMA Cross
Active
24/25
Price 12.8% above EMA50, both EMAs rising
RSI Zone
Active
24/25
RSI at 64.2 — peak momentum zone
RS vs SPY
Active
24/25
Outperforming SPY +6.1pp over 20 days
Volume Surge
Holding
16/25
1.0× 20-day avg — normal flow

Today's Trade Card

Setup
NVDA $1100 CALL
Expires Jun 20, 2026
Premium
$28.00
Target
+70% premium
Stop loss
-45% premium
Breakeven
$1128
Win prob.
56%
Sizing: Risk ≤ 1.5% of account
Greeks
Delta
0.44
Theta
-0.38
IVR
30%
IVR class
Low
Trade card available on Pro & Elite
Or start free trial →

Options Profile

Avg IV (30d)
45%
IVR range (52-wk)
24–82%
Put/call ratio
0.55
Avg daily vol.
620K contracts
Open interest
8.4M contracts
Next earnings
Aug 20, 2026 (est.)

Risks & Fundamentals

Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move NVDA against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.

Beta
1.8
Market cap
~$3.3T
Risk level
Medium risk
Next earnings
Aug 20, 2026 (est.)
Key risks to monitor
  • 1.AI capex digestion phase if hyperscaler infrastructure spend peaks
  • 2.China export restrictions tightening (current ~10-15% of revenue exposure)
  • 3.Customer concentration — Microsoft, Meta, Google, Amazon represent ~40% of data-centre revenue
These are real risks to the long thesis, not a recommendation to short. Stoptions setups are short-dated and stop-protected; size accordingly.

NVDA Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions

Is NVDA a good options trade today?+

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 88/100, ranking it top 4% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.

What is NVDA's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+

NVDA's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 83%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past NVDA trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.

What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for NVDA?+

The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.

How often is the NVDA setup updated?+

Every 72 hours we refresh NVDA's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If NVDA drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.

What does the Amora Edge Score measure for NVDA?+

The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to NVDA: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is NVDA outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. NVDA currently scores 88.

How does NVDA compare to other AI Semiconductors & GPU Computing setups?+

NVDA's sector rank and percentile against other AI Semiconductors & GPU Computing tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related AI Semiconductors & GPU Computing Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.

Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.

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