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Not financial advice. Algo-generated setups are not personalised investment advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss — past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Stoptions.ai›Tickers›Information Technology›NVDA
Information Technology

NVDAInformation Technology sectorStock and Options Trade Setup — NVIDIA Corporation

NVDA logoNasdaq 100 · AI Semiconductors & GPU Computing · Extremely high-liquidity options · Mega cap · ~$3.3T

Last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET
↻ Next update: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET
▼ Cautious setupTechnologyAI chipsMedium risk↑ Score -1 vs last update
39
Amora Edge Score
39
Watching
↓ -1 vs last update
Composite of EMA, RSI, RS vs SPY & volume · updated every 72h
10%
NVDA Win Rate
10%
1 of 10 NVDA setups resolved as WIN in 2026
Tracks completed Stoptions setups on this ticker since Jan 2026
-20.7%
NVDA Avg Return
-20.7%
Blended avg return across all 10 closed setups (wins & losses)
Blended avg return per closed setup (wins & losses) in 2026
Why we cover NVDA

NVIDIA is the picks-and-shovels play of the AI capex cycle. Every model training run, every inference deployment, and every new hyperscaler data center is buying NVIDIA silicon. With ~80% market share in AI accelerators, exceptional gross margins (~75%), and a multi-year product roadmap (Hopper, Blackwell, Rubin), it remains the highest-conviction long-term beneficiary of compute demand. Earnings continue to beat consensus by wide margins despite the law of large numbers, fuelling consistent re-rating. The options market is the most liquid in U.S. equities by daily contract volume, with tight spreads and deep open interest across all expiries. Momentum-driven, earnings-sensitive, and well-suited to short-dated directional plays — NVDA is a constant fixture in Stoptions setups.

Real Results

Last 3 NVDA Setups — Logged & Resolved

The most recent setups the scanner delivered for NVDA — logged at delivery, resolved when stop or target was hit.

Jul 16
options
Conviction
56
Entry
$7.76
Exit
—
Days Held
0
Return
—
Stopped Out
Jul 21
options
Conviction
52
Entry
$7.20
Exit
$196.34
Days Held
6
Return
-40%
Stopped Out
Jul 23
options
Conviction
55
Entry
$7.20
Exit
$205.09
Days Held
1
Return
-40%
Stopped Out

Score History & Signal Changelog

● Live data

This page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.

Score progression · last 10 scans (~30 days)
Solid = composite · dashed = components
NVDA Win Rate History
% of setups that hit target · last 10 scans
Signal Changelog
DateUpdateScoreDeltaKey change
Jul 16Algorithmic pick56+8Score accelerating — momentum building
Jul 17Score update42-14Score cooling — monitor closely
Jul 20Algorithmic pick54+12Score accelerating — momentum building
Jul 21Algorithmic pick52-2Minor pullback — watching signals
Jul 22Score update46-6Score cooling — monitor closely
Jul 23Algorithmic pick55+9Score accelerating — momentum building
Jul 24Score update48-7Score cooling — monitor closely
Jul 27Score update41-7Score cooling — monitor closely
Jul 28Score update40-1Minor pullback — watching signals
Jul 29Score update39-1Minor pullback — watching signals

Signal Breakdown

EMA Cross
Holding
12/25
RSI Zone
Holding
10/25
RS vs SPY
Holding
10/25
Volume Surge
Holding
8/25

Today's Trade Card

Setup
NVDA $1100 CALL
Expires Jun 20, 2026
Premium
$28.00
Target
+70% premium
Stop loss
-45% premium
Breakeven
$1128
Win prob.
56%
Sizing: Risk ≤ 1.5% of account
Greeks
Delta
0.44
Theta
-0.38
IVR
30%
IVR class
Low
Loading…

Options Profile

Avg IV (30d)
45%
IVR range (52-wk)
24–82%
Put/call ratio
0.55
Avg daily vol.
620K contracts
Open interest
8.4M contracts
Next earnings
Aug 20, 2026 (est.)

Risks & Fundamentals

Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move NVDA against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.

Beta
1.8
Market cap
~$3.3T
Risk level
Medium risk
Next earnings
Aug 20, 2026 (est.)
Key risks to monitor
  • 1.AI capex digestion phase if hyperscaler infrastructure spend peaks
  • 2.China export restrictions tightening (current ~10-15% of revenue exposure)
  • 3.Customer concentration — Microsoft, Meta, Google, Amazon represent ~40% of data-centre revenue
These are real risks to the long thesis, not a recommendation to short. Stoptions setups are short-dated and stop-protected; size accordingly.
Related Information Technology Options Setups
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
83
score

NVDA Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions

Is NVDA a good options trade today?+

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 39/100, ranking it watching. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a cautious setup, so the algorithm is positioned cautious (smaller size or wait for confirmation). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.

What is NVDA's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+

NVDA's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 10%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past NVDA trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.

What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for NVDA?+

The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.

How often is the NVDA setup updated?+

Every 72 hours we refresh NVDA's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If NVDA drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.

What does the Amora Edge Score measure for NVDA?+

The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to NVDA: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is NVDA outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. NVDA currently scores 39.

How does NVDA compare to other AI Semiconductors & GPU Computing setups?+

NVDA's sector rank and percentile against other AI Semiconductors & GPU Computing tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related AI Semiconductors & GPU Computing Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.

Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.

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