OLLIStock and Options Trade Setup — Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
Nasdaq · Off-Price & Closeout Discount Retail · Moderate-liquidity options · Mid cap · ~$7.2B
Ollie's operates in the off-price retail sweet spot — the supply of closeout merchandise increases precisely when the consumer is under pressure (manufacturers liquidate excess inventory, retailers return unsold goods), making Ollie's a counter-cyclical beneficiary of the same macro conditions that hurt discretionary retail peers. The treasure-hunt experience is a strong traffic driver that resists e-commerce displacement — consumers visit Ollie's frequently because the inventory changes and the deals are genuine. Unit economics are excellent: low rents (Ollie's backfills closed big-box stores and dead mall anchors at favorable rates), high inventory turns, and growing brand awareness drive improving store-level returns. Management has a clear 1,050-store long-term target (vs. ~530 today), providing a decade-plus of unit growth runway. Same-store sales have been resilient even through inflationary periods because value-seeking behavior intensifies when household budgets are stretched.
Score History & Signal Changelog
Preview dataThis page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.
Signal Breakdown
Today's Trade Card
Options Profile
Risks & Fundamentals
Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move OLLI against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.
- 1.Closeout merchandise availability is opportunistic and can be inconsistent; a shortage of quality brand-name deals would reduce traffic and sales
- 2.Real estate strategy depends on distressed retail vacancy — if the retail apocalypse slows, backfill locations become scarcer and more expensive
- 3.Geographic concentration in the eastern U.S. limits addressable market and leaves the concept untested in western markets
OLLI Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions
Is OLLI a good options trade today?+
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 73/100, ranking it top 29% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.
What is OLLI's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+
OLLI's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 71%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past OLLI trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.
What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for OLLI?+
The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.
How often is the OLLI setup updated?+
Every 72 hours we refresh OLLI's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If OLLI drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.
What does the Amora Edge Score measure for OLLI?+
The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to OLLI: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is OLLI outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. OLLI currently scores 73.
How does OLLI compare to other Off-Price & Closeout Discount Retail setups?+
OLLI's sector rank and percentile against other Off-Price & Closeout Discount Retail tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Off-Price & Closeout Discount Retail Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.
Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.
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