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Not financial advice. Algo-generated setups are not personalised investment advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss — past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Stoptions.ai›Tickers›OLN
Last updated: Friday, May 22, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET
↻ Next update: Monday, May 25, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET

OLNStock and Options Trade Setup — Olin CorporationOLN logo

NYSE · Chlor-Alkali Chemicals & Defense Ammunition · Moderate-liquidity options · Mid cap · ~$4.1B

▲ Developing setupMaterialsChemicals & ammunitionMedium risk↑ Score +2 vs last update
61
Amora Edge Score
61
Top 49% of today's scan
↑ +2 vs last update
Composite of EMA, RSI, RS vs SPY & volume · updated every 72h
63
OLN Win Rate
63%
6 of 10 OLN setups hit target in 2026
Tracks completed Stoptions setups on this ticker since Jan 2026
Why we cover OLN

Olin is a deep-value cyclical setup — the chlor-alkali chemical business is in a trough of its pricing cycle, with caustic soda and chlorine prices compressed by oversupply and weak industrial demand, while the Winchester ammunition business provides a steady offset from secular firearms ownership demand. When the chlor-alkali cycle turns (caustic soda is used in aluminum smelting, water treatment, and pulp/paper — all areas seeing capacity expansion), the earnings recovery will be sharp because the fixed-cost structure creates high operating leverage. Winchester has benefited from multi-year demand for commercial ammunition driven by elevated civilian firearms purchases and military contract wins. The epoxy segment has exposure to wind turbine blade manufacturing, a structural growth market. At trough-cycle valuations, Olin offers asymmetric risk/reward for investors who believe the chemical cycle recovers within 12–18 months.

Score History & Signal Changelog

Preview data

This page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.

Score progression across 4 updates
Solid = composite · dashed = components
Signal Changelog
DateUpdateScoreDeltaKey change
May 5#1 Created55—Page created. Trough-cycle chemical setup; Winchester stability providing floor.
May 9#2 Update57+2Caustic soda pricing showing early stabilization. Materials sector bid providing lift.
May 14#3 Update59+2RSI crossing 50. Industrial demand data for chlorine end markets slowly improving.
May 19#4 Current61+2Developing setup building. Watching for chlor-alkali pricing turn to upgrade tier.

Signal Breakdown

EMA Cross
Active
16/25
Above 20-day EMA; 50-day still declining — early-stage cycle bottom forming
RSI Zone
Developing
15/25
RSI at 55 — just crossing midline; chemical cycle trough bid tentative
RS vs SPY
Developing
15/25
Marginally outperforming SPY +0.8pp; materials sector providing modest lift
Volume Surge
Developing
15/25
1.3× 20-day avg — above average but not a decisive accumulation signal

Today's Trade Card

Setup
OLN $38 CALL
Expires Jul 18, 2026
Premium
$1.30
Target
+58% premium
Stop loss
-38% premium
Breakeven
$39.3
Win prob.
52%
Sizing: Risk ≤ 0.75% of account
Greeks
Delta
0.38
Theta
-0.04
IVR
30%
IVR class
Low
Loading…

Options Profile

Avg IV (30d)
38%
IVR range (52-wk)
22–62%
Put/call ratio
0.82
Avg daily vol.
5K contracts
Open interest
56K contracts
Next earnings
Jul 23, 2026 (est.)

Risks & Fundamentals

Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move OLN against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.

Beta
1.3
Market cap
~$4.1B
Risk level
Medium risk
Next earnings
Jul 23, 2026 (est.)
Key risks to monitor
  • 1.Chlor-alkali pricing is the primary earnings driver and remains depressed; recovery timeline is uncertain and sensitive to global industrial demand
  • 2.Winchester commercial ammunition demand can fluctuate based on political events and consumer sentiment toward firearms purchases
  • 3.Leverage is elevated at cycle trough; if the recovery is delayed, debt servicing costs erode FCF and limit financial flexibility
These are real risks to the long thesis, not a recommendation to short. Stoptions setups are short-dated and stop-protected; size accordingly.

OLN Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions

Is OLN a good options trade today?+

Olin Corporation (OLN) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 61/100, ranking it top 49% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a developing setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.

What is OLN's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+

OLN's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 63%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past OLN trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.

What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for OLN?+

The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.

How often is the OLN setup updated?+

Every 72 hours we refresh OLN's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If OLN drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.

What does the Amora Edge Score measure for OLN?+

The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to OLN: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is OLN outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. OLN currently scores 61.

How does OLN compare to other Chlor-Alkali Chemicals & Defense Ammunition setups?+

OLN's sector rank and percentile against other Chlor-Alkali Chemicals & Defense Ammunition tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Chlor-Alkali Chemicals & Defense Ammunition Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.

Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.

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