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Not financial advice. Algo-generated setups are not personalised investment advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss — past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Stoptions.ai›Tickers›OXY
Last updated: Fri May 15, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET
↻ Next update: Thu, May 21, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET

OXYStock and Options Trade Setup — Occidental Petroleum CorporationOXY logo

NYSE · Energy (Oil & Gas E&P — Permian Pure-Play) · Very high-liquidity options · Large cap · ~$50B

▲ Bullish setupEnergyPermianDAC OptionalityHigh risk↑ Score +4 vs last update
68
Amora Edge Score
68
Top 24% of today's scan
↑ +4 vs last update
Composite of EMA, RSI, RS vs SPY & volume · updated every 72h
62
OXY Win Rate
62%
13 of 21 OXY setups hit target in 2025-2026
Tracks completed Stoptions setups on this ticker since Jan 2026
Why we cover OXY

Occidental Petroleum is one of the cleanest large-cap Permian pure-plays with optionality on the emerging direct air capture (DAC) carbon removal market. The CrownRock acquisition (closed 2024) added Tier 1 Permian inventory and expanded operating scale, providing 10+ years of high-return drilling locations. The OxyChem segment provides counter-cyclical earnings that buffer through oil price volatility. The 1PointFive DAC operation in Texas is now operating commercially and beginning to generate carbon-removal credit revenue at premium prices, providing genuine non-correlated growth optionality that traditional E&Ps lack. Berkshire Hathaway's continued accumulation of OXY shares signals long-term conviction in the integrated strategy. Capital return has shifted toward debt paydown post-CrownRock then aggressive buybacks. Risk profile is moderate-to-high, tied to oil prices. Options are extremely liquid with elevated IVR; short-dated and earnings-driven setups have been productive given commodity sensitivity.

Score History & Signal Changelog

Preview data

This page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.

Score progression across 4 updates
Solid = composite · dashed = components
Signal Changelog
DateUpdateScoreDeltaKey change
May 1#1 Created58—Page created. Q1 Permian production beat plan; CrownRock synergies tracking.
May 5#2 Update61+3EMA crossover confirmed. WTI stabilising above $70.
May 10#3 Update65+4RS rank improving vs E&P peers. DAC carbon credit pricing firm.
May 15#4 Current68+3All four signals Active. Permian + DAC optionality thesis intact.

Signal Breakdown

EMA Cross
Active
17/25
21-day EMA crossed above 50-day on May 7; structural turn forming
RSI Zone
Active
17/25
RSI at 60 — momentum building off oil-stabilisation reset
RS vs SPY
Active
17/25
Outperforming SPY +3.0pp; large-cap E&P bid visible
Volume Surge
Active
17/25
1.4x 20-day average; institutional + retail accumulation

Today's Trade Card

Setup
OXY $55 CALL
Expires Jun 20, 2026
Premium
$2.00
Target
+80% premium
Stop loss
-50% premium
Breakeven
$57
Win prob.
52%
Sizing: Risk <= 0.75% of account (oil-price sensitive)
Greeks
Delta
0.43
Theta
-0.04
IVR
44%
IVR class
Medium
Trade card available on Pro & Elite
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Options Profile

Avg IV (30d)
44%
IVR range (52-wk)
22-86%
Put/call ratio
0.62
Avg daily vol.
95K contracts
Open interest
1.4M contracts
Next earnings
Aug 6, 2026 (est.)

Risks & Fundamentals

Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move OXY against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.

Beta
1.6
Market cap
~$50B
Risk level
High risk
Next earnings
Aug 6, 2026 (est.)
Key risks to monitor
  • 1.WTI sustaining below $65/bbl through 2026 compressing FCF generation
  • 2.CrownRock integration synergy realisation slower than modelled
  • 3.Direct air capture commercial economics weaker than projected at scale
These are real risks to the long thesis, not a recommendation to short. Stoptions setups are short-dated and stop-protected; size accordingly.

OXY Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions

Is OXY a good options trade today?+

Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 68/100, ranking it top 24% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.

What is OXY's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+

OXY's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 62%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past OXY trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.

What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for OXY?+

The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.

How often is the OXY setup updated?+

Every 72 hours we refresh OXY's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If OXY drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.

What does the Amora Edge Score measure for OXY?+

The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to OXY: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is OXY outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. OXY currently scores 68.

How does OXY compare to other Energy (Oil & Gas E&P — Permian Pure-Play) setups?+

OXY's sector rank and percentile against other Energy (Oil & Gas E&P — Permian Pure-Play) tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Energy (Oil & Gas E&P — Permian Pure-Play) Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.

Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.

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