PARR Stock and Options Trade Setup — Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.
NYSE · Independent Petroleum Refining — West Coast & Hawaii · Low options liquidity · Small cap · ~$1.5B
Par Pacific's Hawaii refinery is a structural competitive moat — the only refinery in the state, serving a market where fuel imports face cost disadvantages from Jones Act shipping requirements. This captive market dynamic means Par Pacific captures refining margin that is structurally elevated versus mainland peers. The Pacific Northwest refinery acquisitions (ExxonMobil Washington, ConocoPhillips Montana) have expanded the company's mainland footprint at attractive acquisition multiples during a period of refinery rationalization. The refining sector is in the middle innings of a multi-year consolidation where excess capacity has been permanently retired (COVID refinery shutdowns were not reversed), supporting structurally higher crack spreads versus pre-2020 norms. Par Pacific is smaller and less liquid than a Valero or Marathon, but its Hawaii competitive position and crack spread leverage make it a compelling options setup around refining margin cycles.
Score History & Signal Changelog
Preview dataThis page is a living document — updated every 72 hours from the last scan. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot.
Signal Breakdown
Today's Trade Card
Options Profile
Risks & Fundamentals
Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move PARR against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.
- 1.Refining margins (crack spreads) are highly volatile and can compress sharply in oversupply periods
- 2.Jones Act shipping costs could eventually be politically reduced, reducing Hawaii margin premium
- 3.Hawaii tourism-driven fuel demand makes volumes sensitive to travel trends
PARR Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions
Is PARR a good options trade today?+
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 64/100, ranking it top 40%. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.
What is PARR's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+
PARR's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 61%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past PARR trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.
What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for PARR?+
The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.
How often is the PARR setup updated?+
Every 72 hours we refresh PARR's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If PARR drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.
What does the Amora Edge Score measure for PARR?+
The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to PARR: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is PARR outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. PARR currently scores 64.
How does PARR compare to other Independent Petroleum Refining — West Coast & Hawaii setups?+
PARR's sector rank and percentile against other Independent Petroleum Refining — West Coast & Hawaii tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Independent Petroleum Refining — West Coast & Hawaii Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.
Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.
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