PSX Stock and Options Trade Setup — Phillips 66
NYSE · Petroleum Refining, Midstream & Chemicals · High options liquidity · Large cap · ~$45B
Phillips 66 trades at a discount to pure-play refiners because of the complexity of its diversified model — and that complexity is the opportunity. The CPChem chemicals JV is a world-scale ethylene and derivatives producer benefiting from U.S. natural gas cost advantages over global peers. The midstream segment (DCP Midstream integrated) is a high-quality, fee-based cash flow stream that provides earnings stability during refining margin troughs. Management has been consolidating the MLP structure (DCP full buyout) and deploying capital into the Rodeo renewable fuels project — the largest renewable diesel facility on the U.S. West Coast. Refining margins, while volatile, are structurally above pre-2020 norms because capacity retired during COVID has not been replaced. PSX's share buyback program has been aggressive and value-accretive — significant capital returned while maintaining investment-grade leverage.
Score History & Signal Changelog
Preview dataThis page is a living document — updated every 72 hours from the last scan. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot.
Signal Breakdown
Today's Trade Card
Options Profile
Risks & Fundamentals
Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move PSX against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.
- 1.Refining crack spreads can compress sharply — the business's most cyclical element
- 2.Chemicals margin volatility from ethylene cycles
- 3.California regulatory environment for Rodeo renewable fuels could create cost surprises
PSX Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions
Is PSX a good options trade today?+
Phillips 66 (PSX) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 72/100, ranking it top 25%. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.
What is PSX's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+
PSX's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 66%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past PSX trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.
What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for PSX?+
The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.
How often is the PSX setup updated?+
Every 72 hours we refresh PSX's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If PSX drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.
What does the Amora Edge Score measure for PSX?+
The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to PSX: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is PSX outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. PSX currently scores 72.
How does PSX compare to other Petroleum Refining, Midstream & Chemicals setups?+
PSX's sector rank and percentile against other Petroleum Refining, Midstream & Chemicals tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Petroleum Refining, Midstream & Chemicals Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.
Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.
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