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Not financial advice. Algo-generated setups are not personalised investment advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss — past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Stoptions.ai›Tickers›RGLD
Last updated: Fri May 15, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET
↻ Next update: Thu, May 21, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET

RGLDStock and Options Trade Setup — Royal Gold, Inc.RGLD logo

Nasdaq · Materials (Precious Metals Royalty & Streaming) · Moderate-liquidity options · Mid cap · ~$10B

▲ Bullish setupMaterialsGold RoyaltyMedium risk↑ Score +4 vs last update
73
Amora Edge Score
73
Top 16% of today's scan
↑ +4 vs last update
Composite of EMA, RSI, RS vs SPY & volume · updated every 72h
68
RGLD Win Rate
68%
15 of 22 RGLD setups hit target in 2025-2026
Tracks completed Stoptions setups on this ticker since Jan 2026
Why we cover RGLD

Royal Gold offers the highest-quality exposure to gold price appreciation without taking direct operational mining risk. The royalty and streaming business model provides a fixed-percentage cut of mine output revenue with no participation in operating cost inflation — when gold prices rise, Royal Gold captures upside; when costs rise, Royal Gold is insulated. The portfolio of 175+ properties provides geographic and commodity diversification across leading miners (Barrick, Newmont, Teck, others). Gold prices have been in a structural uptrend driven by central bank buying (particularly emerging markets diversifying from USD reserves), fiscal concerns, and geopolitical tensions — these dynamics show no signs of abating. As Fed cuts proceed and real interest rates ease, gold typically performs strongly. Operating margins are 80%+ given the royalty model. Capital return has been disciplined with consistent dividend growth. Risk profile is moderate-to-high given commodity sensitivity. Options are reasonably liquid with elevated IVR.

Score History & Signal Changelog

Preview data

This page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.

Score progression across 4 updates
Solid = composite · dashed = components
Signal Changelog
DateUpdateScoreDeltaKey change
May 1#1 Created62—Page created. Q1 royalty revenue +14% YoY on gold price + volume.
May 5#2 Update66+4EMA structure constructive. New royalty acquisition closed.
May 10#3 Update69+3RS rank improving vs precious metals peers. Dividend raised.
May 15#4 Current73+4All four signals Active. Gold royalty compounder thesis intact.

Signal Breakdown

EMA Cross
Active
19/25
21-day EMA cleanly above 50-day; trend slope steepening
RSI Zone
Active
18/25
RSI at 64 — strong momentum, room before overbought
RS vs SPY
Active
18/25
Outperforming SPY +4.2pp; gold cohort leader
Volume Surge
Active
18/25
1.4x 20-day average on advance days; institutional accumulation

Today's Trade Card

Setup
RGLD $150 CALL
Expires Jul 18, 2026
Premium
$4.40
Target
+65% premium
Stop loss
-40% premium
Breakeven
$154.4
Win prob.
56%
Sizing: Risk <= 1% of account
Greeks
Delta
0.45
Theta
-0.07
IVR
32%
IVR class
Medium
Trade card available on Pro & Elite
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Options Profile

Avg IV (30d)
32%
IVR range (52-wk)
18-60%
Put/call ratio
0.70
Avg daily vol.
2.6K contracts
Open interest
38K contracts
Next earnings
Aug 5, 2026 (est.)

Risks & Fundamentals

Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move RGLD against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.

Beta
0.7
Market cap
~$10B
Risk level
Medium risk
Next earnings
Aug 5, 2026 (est.)
Key risks to monitor
  • 1.Gold prices retreating materially if real rates rise unexpectedly
  • 2.Mine production disruption at key royalty properties (operational risk passes to Royal Gold via royalty)
  • 3.Capital allocation to new royalty acquisitions at less favourable terms in a high-gold-price environment
These are real risks to the long thesis, not a recommendation to short. Stoptions setups are short-dated and stop-protected; size accordingly.

RGLD Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions

Is RGLD a good options trade today?+

Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 73/100, ranking it top 16% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.

What is RGLD's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+

RGLD's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 68%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past RGLD trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.

What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for RGLD?+

The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.

How often is the RGLD setup updated?+

Every 72 hours we refresh RGLD's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If RGLD drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.

What does the Amora Edge Score measure for RGLD?+

The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to RGLD: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is RGLD outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. RGLD currently scores 73.

How does RGLD compare to other Materials (Precious Metals Royalty & Streaming) setups?+

RGLD's sector rank and percentile against other Materials (Precious Metals Royalty & Streaming) tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Materials (Precious Metals Royalty & Streaming) Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.

Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.

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