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Not financial advice. Algo-generated setups are not personalised investment advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss — past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Stoptions.ai›Tickers›RITM
Last updated: Fri May 15, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET
↻ Next update: Thu, May 21, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET

RITMStock and Options Trade Setup — Rithm Capital Corp.RITM logo

NYSE · Financials (Mortgage REIT & Asset Management) · Moderate-liquidity options · Mid cap · ~$6B

▲ Bullish setupFinancialsMortgage REITAlt ManagerMedium risk↑ Score +3 vs last update
64
Amora Edge Score
64
Top 34% of today's scan
↑ +3 vs last update
Composite of EMA, RSI, RS vs SPY & volume · updated every 72h
59
RITM Win Rate
59%
9 of 15 RITM setups hit target in 2025-2026
Tracks completed Stoptions setups on this ticker since Jan 2026
Why we cover RITM

Rithm Capital is in the middle of a strategic transformation from a pure mortgage REIT into a hybrid asset manager. The Sculptor Capital acquisition (closed 2023) added a meaningful alternative asset management platform with $36B+ AUM that generates fee revenue independent of mortgage cycles. The mortgage servicing rights portfolio is positioned to benefit when interest rates begin declining materially — MSR values rise as expected prepayment durations extend. The residential whole loan and single-family rental portfolios provide diversified income streams. Distribution policy has remained attractive with a high dividend yield. Capital structure has been disciplined as management seeks to convert from REIT to C-corp structure to expand strategic optionality. Risk profile is moderate-to-high given interest rate sensitivity. Options are moderately liquid with elevated IVR; medium-duration directional setups around rate-cut catalysts have been productive.

Score History & Signal Changelog

Preview data

This page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.

Score progression across 4 updates
Solid = composite · dashed = components
Signal Changelog
DateUpdateScoreDeltaKey change
May 1#1 Created54—Page created. Q1 Sculptor fee income tracking guidance; MSR portfolio stable.
May 5#2 Update58+4EMA structure repairing. Distribution coverage improving.
May 10#3 Update61+3RS rank improving vs mortgage REIT peers. C-corp conversion analysis ongoing.
May 15#4 Current64+3All four signals constructive. Hybrid manager setup forming.

Signal Breakdown

EMA Cross
Active
16/25
21-day EMA above 50-day; trend slope steady
RSI Zone
Active
16/25
RSI at 58 — supportive momentum, room to run
RS vs SPY
Active
17/25
Outperforming SPY +2.4pp; mortgage REIT cohort lift
Volume Surge
Holding
15/25
1.2x 20-day average; modest participation

Today's Trade Card

Setup
RITM $12 CALL
Expires Jul 18, 2026
Premium
$0.50
Target
+75% premium
Stop loss
-45% premium
Breakeven
$12.5
Win prob.
52%
Sizing: Risk <= 0.75% of account (rate-sensitive)
Greeks
Delta
0.43
Theta
-0.01
IVR
36%
IVR class
Medium
Trade card available on Pro & Elite
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Options Profile

Avg IV (30d)
36%
IVR range (52-wk)
18-64%
Put/call ratio
0.74
Avg daily vol.
4.5K contracts
Open interest
62K contracts
Next earnings
Jul 30, 2026 (est.)

Risks & Fundamentals

Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move RITM against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.

Beta
1.3
Market cap
~$6B
Risk level
Medium risk
Next earnings
Jul 30, 2026 (est.)
Key risks to monitor
  • 1.Long-duration interest rates remaining elevated, suppressing MSR appreciation
  • 2.Sculptor Capital fundraising slower than modelled as alternative AUM growth decelerates
  • 3.C-corp conversion creating tax inefficiencies vs REIT structure for existing holders
These are real risks to the long thesis, not a recommendation to short. Stoptions setups are short-dated and stop-protected; size accordingly.

RITM Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions

Is RITM a good options trade today?+

Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 64/100, ranking it top 34% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.

What is RITM's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+

RITM's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 59%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past RITM trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.

What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for RITM?+

The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.

How often is the RITM setup updated?+

Every 72 hours we refresh RITM's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If RITM drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.

What does the Amora Edge Score measure for RITM?+

The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to RITM: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is RITM outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. RITM currently scores 64.

How does RITM compare to other Financials (Mortgage REIT & Asset Management) setups?+

RITM's sector rank and percentile against other Financials (Mortgage REIT & Asset Management) tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Financials (Mortgage REIT & Asset Management) Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.

Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.

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