ROST Stock and Options Trade Setup — Ross Stores
S&P 500 · Consumer Discretionary (Off-Price Retail) · Moderate-liquidity options · Large cap · ~$44B
Ross Stores benefits from a structural consumer trade-down dynamic that strengthens during inflationary environments — customers seeking value increasingly discover that off-price delivers comparable quality at 20-60% below full-price retail. The treasure-hunt buying experience (merchandise changes weekly, creating urgency) drives 6-7 annual visits vs. 2-3 for department stores. Ross's buying infrastructure — 1,300+ buyers purchasing opportunistically from a network of 10,000+ vendors including brands with excess inventory — creates a merchandise moat that takes decades to replicate. The company is in an extended store expansion cycle, adding 90-100 net new stores annually into mid-tier markets that were bypassed by department store rollups, providing a decade of unit growth runway. At 22x forward earnings, Ross is at the lower end of its historical range, offering a reasonable entry for a business that compounds earnings at 12-14% annually through the cycle.
Score History & Signal Changelog
Preview dataThis page is a living document — updated every 72 hours from the last scan. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot.
Signal Breakdown
Today's Trade Card
Options Profile
Risks & Fundamentals
Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move ROST against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.
- 1.Consumer spending normalisation reducing trade-down appeal if real wage growth outpaces inflation sustainably
- 2.Shrinkage and inventory theft at elevated rates compressing operating margins more than modeled
- 3.Amazon and e-commerce alternatives for off-price merchandise reducing foot traffic to physical stores
ROST Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions
Is ROST a good options trade today?+
Ross Stores (ROST) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 75/100, ranking it top 15% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.
What is ROST's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+
ROST's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 70%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past ROST trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.
What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for ROST?+
The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.
How often is the ROST setup updated?+
Every 72 hours we refresh ROST's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If ROST drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.
What does the Amora Edge Score measure for ROST?+
The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to ROST: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is ROST outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. ROST currently scores 75.
How does ROST compare to other Consumer Discretionary (Off-Price Retail) setups?+
ROST's sector rank and percentile against other Consumer Discretionary (Off-Price Retail) tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Consumer Discretionary (Off-Price Retail) Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.
Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.
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