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Not financial advice. Algo-generated setups are not personalised investment advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss — past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Stoptions.ai›Tickers›SHOP
Last updated: Mon May 11, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET
↻ Next update: Thu May 14, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET

SHOP Stock and Options Trade Setup — ShopifySHOP logo

NYSE · Technology · Deep options liquidity; tight spreads · Large cap · ~$115B

▲ Bullish setupCommerce Platform LeaderMerchant Payments GrowthInternational Expansion↑ Score +6 vs last update
79
Amora Edge Score
79
Top 25%
↑ +6 vs last update
Composite of EMA, RSI, RS vs SPY & volume · updated every 72h
70
SHOP Win Rate
70%
7.0 of 10 setups reached target
Tracks completed Stoptions setups on this ticker since Jan 2026
Why we cover SHOP

SHOP has evolved from a simple e-commerce SaaS platform into a vertically integrated commerce operating system encompassing payments, fulfillment, capital, and marketing. The company's merchant ecosystem now processes hundreds of billions in gross merchandise volume annually, with merchant solutions revenue (payments and financial services) growing faster than subscription software. International expansion in Europe and Asia opens addressable markets multiples larger than the mature North American base. The Shopify Fulfillment Network and delivery partnerships create logistics capabilities that compress merchant operating costs. As AI tools for merchant growth become embedded in the platform, monetization opportunities per merchant expand further.

Score History & Signal Changelog

Preview data

This page is a living document — updated every 72 hours from the last scan. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot.

Score progression across 4 updates
Solid = composite · dashed = components
Signal changelog
DateUpdateScoreDeltaKey change
Apr 28#1 Created71—Page created. Commerce platform vertical integration thesis initiated.
May 1#2 Update73+2EMA expanding; GMV growth tracking ahead of consensus.
May 7#3 Update76+3RS outperformance accelerating; merchant solutions take rate growing.
May 11#4 Current79+3Volume and momentum strong; bullish conviction near top-tier threshold.

Signal Breakdown

EMA Cross
Active
24/25
50-day EMA accelerating above 200-day; strong tech uptrend.
RSI Zone
Active
20/25
RSI at 64; strong momentum but approaching watch zone; managing.
RS vs SPY
Active
19/25
Consistently outperforming XLK technology index on relative strength.
Volume Surge
Active
16/25
Sustained above-average volume; institutional positioning expanding.

Today's Trade Card

Setup
SHOP $115 CALL
Expires Jun 20, 2026
Premium
$5.80
Target
+75% premium
Stop loss
-50% premium
Breakeven
$120.8
Win prob.
44%
Sizing: Risk ≤ 1% of account
Greeks
Delta
0.44
Theta
-0.22
IVR
36%
IVR class
Moderate
Trade card available on Pro & Elite
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Options Profile

Avg IV (30d)
36%
IVR range (52-wk)
24–60%
Put/call ratio
0.46
Avg daily vol.
28K contracts
Open interest
380K contracts
Next earnings
Aug 13, 2026 (est.)

Risks & Fundamentals

Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move SHOP against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.

Beta
1.6
Market cap
~$115B
Risk level
Medium risk
Next earnings
Aug 13, 2026 (est.)
Key risks to monitor
  • 1.E-commerce growth rate normalization after pandemic pull-forward
  • 2.Competition from Amazon marketplace and multichannel platforms
  • 3.Fulfillment network investment diluting near-term free cash flow margins
These are real risks to the long thesis, not a recommendation to short. Stoptions setups are short-dated and stop-protected; size accordingly.
Related Technology Options Setups
SSTK
Shutterstock
60
score

SHOP Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions

Is SHOP a good options trade today?+

Shopify (SHOP) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 79/100, ranking it top 25%. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.

What is SHOP's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+

SHOP's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 70%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past SHOP trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.

What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for SHOP?+

The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.

How often is the SHOP setup updated?+

Every 72 hours we refresh SHOP's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If SHOP drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.

What does the Amora Edge Score measure for SHOP?+

The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to SHOP: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is SHOP outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. SHOP currently scores 79.

How does SHOP compare to other Technology setups?+

SHOP's sector rank and percentile against other Technology tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Technology Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.

Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.

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