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Not financial advice. Algo-generated setups are not personalised investment advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss — past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Stoptions.ai›Tickers›SM
Last updated: Friday, May 22, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET
↻ Next update: Monday, May 25, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET

SMStock and Options Trade Setup — SM Energy CompanySM logo

NYSE · Oil & Gas E&P · Moderate-liquidity options · Mid cap · ~$3.5B

▲ Bullish setupEnergyOil & Gas E&PHigh risk↑ Score +4 vs last update
71
Amora Edge Score
71
Top 28% of today's scan
↑ +4 vs last update
Composite of EMA, RSI, RS vs SPY & volume · updated every 72h
65
SM Win Rate
65%
9 of 14 SM setups hit target in 2026
Tracks completed Stoptions setups on this ticker since Jan 2026
Why we cover SM

Permian growth runway + Eagle Ford optionality. Trading at deep discount to NAV on strip prices. FCF breakeven below $50 WTI. Buyback program active.

Score History & Signal Changelog

Preview data

This page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.

Score progression across 4 updates
Solid = composite · dashed = components
Signal Changelog
DateUpdateScoreDeltaKey change
May 5#1 Created58—Page created. Permian E&P setup on NAV discount and FCF breakeven below $50 WTI.
May 9#2 Update63+5Permian drilling results positive. Eagle Ford optionality being repriced by market.
May 14#3 Update67+7Volume above average. Buyback activity confirming management confidence in NAV.
May 19#4 Current71+4All signals active. Deep-value E&P setup confirmed in Strong tier.

Signal Breakdown

EMA Cross
Active
20/25
Above both EMAs; Permian growth driving consistent uptrend
RSI Zone
Active
17/25
RSI at 60 — momentum zone; NAV discount attracting value buyers
RS vs SPY
Active
19/25
Outperforming SPY +2.4pp; energy names seeing commodity bid
Volume Surge
Active
15/25
1.5× 20-day avg; accumulation on Permian drilling results and buyback activity

Today's Trade Card

Setup
SM $30 CALL
Expires Jun 20, 2026
Premium
$1.40
Target
+70% premium
Stop loss
-45% premium
Breakeven
$31.4
Win prob.
54%
Sizing: Risk ≤ 1% of account
Greeks
Delta
0.41
Theta
-0.08
IVR
38%
IVR class
Low
Loading…

Options Profile

Avg IV (30d)
48%
IVR range (52-wk)
32–78%
Put/call ratio
0.88
Avg daily vol.
5K contracts
Open interest
72K contracts
Next earnings
Aug 6, 2026 (est.)

Risks & Fundamentals

Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move SM against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.

Beta
1.9
Market cap
~$3.5B
Risk level
High risk
Next earnings
Aug 6, 2026 (est.)
Key risks to monitor
  • 1.Oil price volatility directly impacts earnings
  • 2.Execution risk on Permian growth program
  • 3.Debt levels elevated vs larger E&P peers
These are real risks to the long thesis, not a recommendation to short. Stoptions setups are short-dated and stop-protected; size accordingly.

SM Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions

Is SM a good options trade today?+

SM Energy Company (SM) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 71/100, ranking it top 28% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.

What is SM's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+

SM's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 65%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past SM trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.

What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for SM?+

The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.

How often is the SM setup updated?+

Every 72 hours we refresh SM's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If SM drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.

What does the Amora Edge Score measure for SM?+

The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to SM: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is SM outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. SM currently scores 71.

How does SM compare to other Oil & Gas E&P setups?+

SM's sector rank and percentile against other Oil & Gas E&P tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Oil & Gas E&P Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.

Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.

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