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Stoptions.ai›Tickers›SMCI
Last updated: Friday, May 22, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET
↻ Next update: Monday, May 25, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET

SMCIStock and Options Trade Setup — Super Micro Computer, Inc.SMCI logo

Nasdaq · Technology Hardware · High-liquidity options · Large cap · ~$28B

▲ Bullish setupTechnologyAI InfrastructureHigh risk↑ Score +6 vs last update
77
Amora Edge Score
77
Top 22% of today's scan
↑ +6 vs last update
Composite of EMA, RSI, RS vs SPY & volume · updated every 72h
68
SMCI Win Rate
68%
9 of 13 SMCI setups hit target in 2026
Tracks completed Stoptions setups on this ticker since Jan 2026
Why we cover SMCI

AI infrastructure buildout is multi-year tailwind. SMCI's direct-liquid-cooling (DLC) tech wins share as GPU density rises. Backlog rebuild after 2024 accounting issues resolved.

Score History & Signal Changelog

Preview data

This page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.

Score progression across 4 updates
Solid = composite · dashed = components
Signal Changelog
DateUpdateScoreDeltaKey change
May 5#1 Created62—Page created. AI server infrastructure setup on DLC technology and backlog rebuild.
May 9#2 Update67+5Hyperscaler GPU server orders accelerating. Accounting resolution reducing overhang.
May 14#3 Update72+7Volume above average. DLC market share gains confirmed by hyperscaler disclosures.
May 19#4 Current77+6All signals active. AI infrastructure leader confirmed in Strong tier.

Signal Breakdown

EMA Cross
Active
22/25
Above both EMAs; AI server demand driving consistent uptrend
RSI Zone
Active
18/25
RSI at 62 — momentum zone; DLC technology wins adding valuation premium
RS vs SPY
Active
20/25
Outperforming SPY +3.0pp; AI infrastructure names leading technology sector
Volume Surge
Active
17/25
1.7× 20-day avg; institutional accumulation on backlog rebuild and AI server demand

Today's Trade Card

Setup
SMCI $55 CALL
Expires Jun 20, 2026
Premium
$4.20
Target
+75% premium
Stop loss
-50% premium
Breakeven
$59.2
Win prob.
56%
Sizing: Risk ≤ 1% of account
Greeks
Delta
0.43
Theta
-0.14
IVR
52%
IVR class
Medium
Loading…

Options Profile

Avg IV (30d)
72%
IVR range (52-wk)
45–115%
Put/call ratio
0.92
Avg daily vol.
38K contracts
Open interest
520K contracts
Next earnings
Aug 5, 2026 (est.)

Risks & Fundamentals

Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move SMCI against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.

Beta
2.4
Market cap
~$28B
Risk level
High risk
Next earnings
Aug 5, 2026 (est.)
Key risks to monitor
  • 1.Accounting/governance overhang not fully resolved
  • 2.Nvidia supply chain dependency
  • 3.Competition from Dell, HPE on AI servers
These are real risks to the long thesis, not a recommendation to short. Stoptions setups are short-dated and stop-protected; size accordingly.

SMCI Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions

Is SMCI a good options trade today?+

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 77/100, ranking it top 22% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.

What is SMCI's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+

SMCI's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 68%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past SMCI trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.

What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for SMCI?+

The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.

How often is the SMCI setup updated?+

Every 72 hours we refresh SMCI's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If SMCI drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.

What does the Amora Edge Score measure for SMCI?+

The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to SMCI: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is SMCI outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. SMCI currently scores 77.

How does SMCI compare to other Technology Hardware setups?+

SMCI's sector rank and percentile against other Technology Hardware tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Technology Hardware Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.

Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.

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