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Not financial advice. Algo-generated setups are not personalised investment advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss — past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Stoptions.ai›Tickers›Industrials›SMCI
Industrials

SMCIIndustrials sectorStock and Options Trade Setup — Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI logoNasdaq · Technology Hardware · High-liquidity options · Large cap · ~$28B

Last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET
↻ Next update: Monday, August 24, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET
▲ Bullish setupTechnologyAI InfrastructureHigh risk↑ Score +1 vs last update
86
Amora Edge Score
86
Top 10%
↑ +1 vs last update
Composite of EMA, RSI, RS vs SPY & volume · updated every 72h
83%
SMCI Win Rate
83%
5 of 6 SMCI setups resolved as WIN in 2026
Tracks completed Stoptions setups on this ticker since Jan 2026
+7.6%
SMCI Avg Return
+7.6%
Blended avg return across all 6 closed setups (wins & losses)
Blended avg return per closed setup (wins & losses) in 2026
Why we cover SMCI

AI infrastructure buildout is multi-year tailwind. SMCI's direct-liquid-cooling (DLC) tech wins share as GPU density rises. Backlog rebuild after 2024 accounting issues resolved.

Real Results

Last 3 SMCI Setups — Logged & Resolved

The most recent setups the scanner delivered for SMCI — logged at delivery, resolved when stop or target was hit.

May 26
stocks
Conviction
66
Entry
$36.00
Exit
$41.30
Days Held
3
Return
+14.7%
Target Hit
Aug 12
stocks
Conviction
86
Entry
$34.98
Exit
$37.83
Days Held
0
Return
+8.1%
Target Hit
Aug 13
stocks
Conviction
86
Entry
$38.23
Exit
$42.01
Days Held
0
Return
+9.9%
Target Hit

Score History & Signal Changelog

● Live data

This page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.

Score progression · last 10 scans (~30 days)
Solid = composite · dashed = components
SMCI Win Rate History
% of setups that hit target · last 10 scans
Signal Changelog
DateUpdateScoreDeltaKey change
Jul 24Score update56-3Minor pullback — watching signals
Jul 27Score update48-8Score cooling — monitor closely
Jul 28Score update44-4Minor pullback — watching signals
Jul 29Score update50+6Score accelerating — momentum building
Jul 31Score update42-8Score cooling — monitor closely
Aug 14Score update89+47Score accelerating — momentum building
Aug 18Score update82-7Score cooling — monitor closely
Aug 19Score update83+1Score improving — signals strengthening
Aug 20Score update85+2Score improving — signals strengthening
Aug 21Score update86+1Score improving — signals strengthening

Signal Breakdown

EMA Cross
Holding
7/25
RSI Zone
Holding
22/25
RS vs SPY
Holding
22/25
Volume Surge
Holding
17/25

Today's Trade Card

Setup
SMCI $55 CALL
Expires Jun 20, 2026
Premium
$4.20
Target
+75% premium
Stop loss
-50% premium
Breakeven
$59.2
Win prob.
56%
Sizing: Risk ≤ 1% of account
Greeks
Delta
0.43
Theta
-0.14
IVR
52%
IVR class
Medium
Loading…

Options Profile

Avg IV (30d)
72%
IVR range (52-wk)
45–115%
Put/call ratio
0.92
Avg daily vol.
38K contracts
Open interest
520K contracts
Next earnings
Aug 5, 2026 (est.)

Risks & Fundamentals

Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move SMCI against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.

Beta
2.4
Market cap
~$28B
Risk level
High risk
Next earnings
Aug 5, 2026 (est.)
Key risks to monitor
  • 1.Accounting/governance overhang not fully resolved
  • 2.Nvidia supply chain dependency
  • 3.Competition from Dell, HPE on AI servers
These are real risks to the long thesis, not a recommendation to short. Stoptions setups are short-dated and stop-protected; size accordingly.

SMCI Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions

Is SMCI a good options trade today?+

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 86/100, ranking it top 10%. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.

What is SMCI's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+

SMCI's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 83%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past SMCI trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.

What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for SMCI?+

The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.

How often is the SMCI setup updated?+

Every 72 hours we refresh SMCI's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If SMCI drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.

What does the Amora Edge Score measure for SMCI?+

The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to SMCI: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is SMCI outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. SMCI currently scores 86.

How does SMCI compare to other Technology Hardware setups?+

SMCI's sector rank and percentile against other Technology Hardware tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Technology Hardware Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.

Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.

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