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Not financial advice. Algo-generated setups are not personalised investment advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss — past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Stoptions.ai›Tickers›Industrials›SMTC
Industrials

SMTCIndustrials sectorStock and Options Trade Setup — Semtech Corporation

SMTC logoNasdaq · Semiconductors · Moderate-liquidity options · Mid cap · ~$3.2B

Last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET
↻ Next update: Thursday, October 29, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET
▲ Bullish setupTechnologySemiconductorsMedium risk↑ Score +2 vs last update
84
Amora Edge Score
84
Top 10%
↑ +2 vs last update
Composite of EMA, RSI, RS vs SPY & volume · updated every 72h
0%
SMTC Win Rate
0%
0 of 9 SMTC setups resolved as WIN in 2026
Tracks completed Stoptions setups on this ticker since Jan 2026
-19.8%
SMTC Avg Return
-19.8%
Blended avg return across all 9 closed setups (wins & losses)
Blended avg return per closed setup (wins & losses) in 2026
Why we cover SMTC

LoRa IoT platform gaining enterprise traction globally. Data center optical business expanding with AI buildout. Post-Sierra Wireless digestion complete, growth resuming.

Real Results

Last 3 SMTC Setups — Logged & Resolved

The most recent setups the scanner delivered for SMTC — logged at delivery, resolved when stop or target was hit.

Sep 22
stocks
Conviction
72
Entry
$174.11
Exit
$132.00
Days Held
34
Return
-24.2%
Stopped Out
Sep 23
stocks
Conviction
66
Entry
$172.06
Exit
$132.00
Days Held
33
Return
-23.3%
Stopped Out
Sep 24
stocks
Conviction
66
Entry
$164.18
Exit
$132.00
Days Held
32
Return
-19.6%
Stopped Out

Score History & Signal Changelog

● Live data

This page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.

Score progression · last 10 scans (~30 days)
Solid = composite · dashed = components
Signal Changelog
DateUpdateScoreDeltaKey change
Sep 11Score update83+0Score holding steady
Sep 17Score update88+5Score improving — signals strengthening
Sep 18Score update83-5Minor pullback — watching signals
Sep 21Score update81-2Minor pullback — watching signals
Sep 22Score update86+5Score improving — signals strengthening
Sep 23Score update86+0Score holding steady
Sep 24Score update82-4Minor pullback — watching signals
Sep 25Score update85+3Score improving — signals strengthening
Sep 28Score update82-3Minor pullback — watching signals
Sep 29Score update84+2Score improving — signals strengthening

Signal Breakdown

EMA Cross
Holding
25/25
RSI Zone
Holding
21/25
RS vs SPY
Holding
21/25
Volume Surge
Holding
17/25

Today's Trade Card

Setup
SMTC $30 CALL
Expires Jun 20, 2026
Premium
$2.00
Target
+70% premium
Stop loss
-45% premium
Breakeven
$32
Win prob.
55%
Sizing: Risk ≤ 1.5% of account
Greeks
Delta
0.42
Theta
-0.09
IVR
40%
IVR class
Low
Loading…

Options Profile

Avg IV (30d)
50%
IVR range (52-wk)
34–82%
Put/call ratio
0.80
Avg daily vol.
4K contracts
Open interest
68K contracts
Next earnings
Aug 27, 2026 (est.)

Risks & Fundamentals

Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move SMTC against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.

Beta
1.7
Market cap
~$3.2B
Risk level
Medium risk
Next earnings
Aug 27, 2026 (est.)
Key risks to monitor
  • 1.Sierra Wireless acquisition debt still elevated
  • 2.LoRa adoption slower than projected
  • 3.IoT chip market highly competitive
These are real risks to the long thesis, not a recommendation to short. Stoptions setups are short-dated and stop-protected; size accordingly.

SMTC Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions

Is SMTC a good options trade today?+

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 84/100, ranking it top 10%. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.

What is SMTC's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+

SMTC's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 0%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past SMTC trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.

What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for SMTC?+

The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.

How often is the SMTC setup updated?+

Every 72 hours we refresh SMTC's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If SMTC drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.

What does the Amora Edge Score measure for SMTC?+

The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to SMTC: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is SMTC outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. SMTC currently scores 84.

How does SMTC compare to other Semiconductors setups?+

SMTC's sector rank and percentile against other Semiconductors tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Semiconductors Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.

Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.

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