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Stoptions.ai›Tickers›SMTC
Last updated: Friday, May 22, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET
↻ Next update: Monday, May 25, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET

SMTCStock and Options Trade Setup — Semtech CorporationSMTC logo

Nasdaq · Semiconductors · Moderate-liquidity options · Mid cap · ~$3.2B

▲ Bullish setupTechnologySemiconductorsMedium risk↑ Score +5 vs last update
72
Amora Edge Score
72
Top 27% of today's scan
↑ +5 vs last update
Composite of EMA, RSI, RS vs SPY & volume · updated every 72h
66
SMTC Win Rate
66%
8 of 12 SMTC setups hit target in 2026
Tracks completed Stoptions setups on this ticker since Jan 2026
Why we cover SMTC

LoRa IoT platform gaining enterprise traction globally. Data center optical business expanding with AI buildout. Post-Sierra Wireless digestion complete, growth resuming.

Score History & Signal Changelog

Preview data

This page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.

Score progression across 4 updates
Solid = composite · dashed = components
Signal Changelog
DateUpdateScoreDeltaKey change
May 5#1 Created59—Page created. LoRa IoT and optical data center setup on AI infrastructure buildout.
May 9#2 Update64+5LoRa enterprise deployments accelerating. Optical components seeing AI data center demand.
May 14#3 Update68+7Volume above average. Sierra Wireless integration milestones ahead of schedule.
May 19#4 Current72+5All signals active. IoT+optical semiconductor growth confirmed in Strong tier.

Signal Breakdown

EMA Cross
Active
21/25
Above both EMAs; LoRa IoT traction driving consistent uptrend
RSI Zone
Active
17/25
RSI at 61 — momentum zone; Sierra Wireless integration progress reducing uncertainty
RS vs SPY
Active
19/25
Outperforming SPY +2.5pp; semiconductor names seeing AI infrastructure rotation
Volume Surge
Active
15/25
1.5× 20-day avg; accumulation on optical data center wins and IoT pipeline growth

Today's Trade Card

Setup
SMTC $30 CALL
Expires Jun 20, 2026
Premium
$2.00
Target
+70% premium
Stop loss
-45% premium
Breakeven
$32
Win prob.
55%
Sizing: Risk ≤ 1.5% of account
Greeks
Delta
0.42
Theta
-0.09
IVR
40%
IVR class
Low
Loading…

Options Profile

Avg IV (30d)
50%
IVR range (52-wk)
34–82%
Put/call ratio
0.80
Avg daily vol.
4K contracts
Open interest
68K contracts
Next earnings
Aug 27, 2026 (est.)

Risks & Fundamentals

Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move SMTC against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.

Beta
1.7
Market cap
~$3.2B
Risk level
Medium risk
Next earnings
Aug 27, 2026 (est.)
Key risks to monitor
  • 1.Sierra Wireless acquisition debt still elevated
  • 2.LoRa adoption slower than projected
  • 3.IoT chip market highly competitive
These are real risks to the long thesis, not a recommendation to short. Stoptions setups are short-dated and stop-protected; size accordingly.

SMTC Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions

Is SMTC a good options trade today?+

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 72/100, ranking it top 27% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.

What is SMTC's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+

SMTC's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 66%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past SMTC trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.

What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for SMTC?+

The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.

How often is the SMTC setup updated?+

Every 72 hours we refresh SMTC's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If SMTC drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.

What does the Amora Edge Score measure for SMTC?+

The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to SMTC: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is SMTC outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. SMTC currently scores 72.

How does SMTC compare to other Semiconductors setups?+

SMTC's sector rank and percentile against other Semiconductors tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Semiconductors Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.

Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.

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