Stoptions.aiStoptions.aiStoptions.aiStoptions.aiStoptions.ai
Powered by Amora Edge
How it worksResultsPricingMeet StoptieCompareBlog
Sign InStart Free Trial
Stoptions.ai
Powered by Amora Edge

Algorithmic scanning across the S&P 500 & Nasdaq 100. Stock & Options trade cards in your inbox by 9:35 AM ET every trading day.

Product
  • How it works
  • The Algorithm
  • Ticker Setups
  • Pricing
  • Morning Brief
  • Results
  • Compare tools
Account
  • Sign In
  • Start Free Trial
  • Give a gift
  • Dashboard
  • Settings
Company
  • About
  • Contact
  • Support
  • Blog
  • Sitemap
Legal
  • Terms of service
  • Privacy policy
  • Risk disclosure
  • Unsubscribe

© 2026 Stoptions.ai · All Rights Reserved

Not financial advice. Algo-generated setups are not personalised investment advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss — past performance does not guarantee future results.

Chat with Stoptie
Stoptions.ai›Tickers›STX
Last updated: Fri May 15, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET
↻ Next update: Thu, May 21, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET

STXStock and Options Trade Setup — Seagate Technology Holdings plcSTX logo

Nasdaq · Technology (Data Storage — HDD) · High-liquidity options · Mid-large cap · ~$22B

▲ Bullish setupTechnologyAI StorageHDDHigh risk↑ Score +5 vs last update
75
Amora Edge Score
75
Top 13% of today's scan
↑ +5 vs last update
Composite of EMA, RSI, RS vs SPY & volume · updated every 72h
69
STX Win Rate
69%
14 of 20 STX setups hit target in 2025-2026
Tracks completed Stoptions setups on this ticker since Jan 2026
Why we cover STX

Seagate is a direct beneficiary of two reinforcing AI data center dynamics: surging mass storage demand as hyperscalers scale generative AI training datasets and inference workloads (every model training run requires petabytes of training corpus retention), and the HAMR technology transition that adds meaningful incremental pricing power. HAMR (heat-assisted magnetic recording) drives are launching commercially with capacity points (30TB+) that no competing technology can match at price/GB, locking in hyperscaler design wins for the next 2-3 years. The HDD industry duopoly structure (Seagate + Western Digital) has produced rare pricing discipline, with both vendors raising ASPs as nearline demand outpaces supply. Operating leverage is meaningful — gross margin has expanded from the 2024 trough. Capital return has been disciplined with consistent buybacks. Risk profile remains moderate-to-high, tied to AI capex cycle timing and SSD-vs-HDD substitution dynamics. Options are highly liquid with elevated IVR.

Score History & Signal Changelog

Preview data

This page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.

Score progression across 4 updates
Solid = composite · dashed = components
Signal Changelog
DateUpdateScoreDeltaKey change
May 1#1 Created64—Page created. Q1 nearline HDD shipments record; HAMR ramp accelerating.
May 5#2 Update68+4EMA structure constructive. HAMR design wins announced.
May 10#3 Update71+3RS rank top quintile in tech. Pricing power sustained.
May 15#4 Current75+4All four signals Active. AI nearline + HAMR thesis intact.

Signal Breakdown

EMA Cross
Active
20/25
21-day EMA accelerating above 50-day; trend slope steepening
RSI Zone
Active
18/25
RSI at 64 — strong momentum, room before overbought
RS vs SPY
Active
19/25
Outperforming SPY +5.0pp; AI storage cohort leader
Volume Surge
Active
18/25
1.6x 20-day average on advance days; institutional accumulation

Today's Trade Card

Setup
STX $110 CALL
Expires Jun 20, 2026
Premium
$4.60
Target
+80% premium
Stop loss
-50% premium
Breakeven
$114.6
Win prob.
52%
Sizing: Risk <= 0.75% of account (high beta, cycle-sensitive)
Greeks
Delta
0.43
Theta
-0.08
IVR
46%
IVR class
Medium
Trade card available on Pro & Elite
Or Start Free Trial →

Options Profile

Avg IV (30d)
46%
IVR range (52-wk)
24-90%
Put/call ratio
0.62
Avg daily vol.
18K contracts
Open interest
240K contracts
Next earnings
Jul 22, 2026 (est.)

Risks & Fundamentals

Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move STX against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.

Beta
1.6
Market cap
~$22B
Risk level
High risk
Next earnings
Jul 22, 2026 (est.)
Key risks to monitor
  • 1.AI capex digestion phase compressing nearline HDD shipment growth
  • 2.SSD pricing dropping faster than expected, accelerating substitution at the margin
  • 3.HAMR yield issues delaying high-capacity drive volume ramp
These are real risks to the long thesis, not a recommendation to short. Stoptions setups are short-dated and stop-protected; size accordingly.

STX Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions

Is STX a good options trade today?+

Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 75/100, ranking it top 13% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.

What is STX's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+

STX's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 69%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past STX trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.

What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for STX?+

The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.

How often is the STX setup updated?+

Every 72 hours we refresh STX's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If STX drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.

What does the Amora Edge Score measure for STX?+

The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to STX: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is STX outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. STX currently scores 75.

How does STX compare to other Technology (Data Storage — HDD) setups?+

STX's sector rank and percentile against other Technology (Data Storage — HDD) tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Technology (Data Storage — HDD) Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.

Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.

The Weekly · Free

Get a Friday Recap Including Setups Like STX.

Every Friday at 4:30 PM ET — Trade of the Week, Signal Movement, Sector Spotlight, Technical Analysis, and more. A 4-minute read. Free.

No spam. One email Friday afternoon. Unsubscribe in one click.

More from Stoptions.ai
← All tickersHow the algorithm worksMorning BriefResultsPricing