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Not financial advice. Algo-generated setups are not personalised investment advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss — past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Stoptions.ai›Tickers›STZ
Last updated: Fri May 15, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET
↻ Next update: Thu, May 21, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET

STZStock and Options Trade Setup — Constellation Brands, Inc.STZ logo

NYSE · Consumer Staples (Premium Beer, Wine & Spirits) · High-liquidity options · Large cap · ~$50B

▲ Bullish setupConsumer StaplesPremium BeerLow risk↑ Score +3 vs last update
70
Amora Edge Score
70
Top 20% of today's scan
↑ +3 vs last update
Composite of EMA, RSI, RS vs SPY & volume · updated every 72h
66
STZ Win Rate
66%
13 of 20 STZ setups hit target in 2025-2026
Tracks completed Stoptions setups on this ticker since Jan 2026
Why we cover STZ

Constellation Brands operates the most attractive beer franchise in the U.S. market: Modelo Especial took the #1 brand position from Bud Light in 2023 and continues compounding share at high-single-digits, supported by demographic tailwinds as Hispanic American consumers comprise the fastest-growing demographic segment. The exclusive U.S. import rights for Mexican beer brands (Modelo, Corona, Pacifico, Victoria) provide a uniquely defensible economic moat — Constellation owns the distribution + brand rights perpetually. Premium beer category trends remain favourable as American consumers continue trading up. The wine and spirits portfolio has been rationalised to focus on premium-priced brands. Operating margins are best-in-class in beverages at 35%+. Risk profile is low. Options are highly liquid; medium-duration directional setups around volume / share data have been productive.

Score History & Signal Changelog

Preview data

This page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.

Score progression across 4 updates
Solid = composite · dashed = components
Signal Changelog
DateUpdateScoreDeltaKey change
May 1#1 Created62—Page created. Q1 Modelo Especial depletions +9%; beer momentum strong.
May 5#2 Update65+3EMA structure constructive. Premium beer trade-up continuing.
May 10#3 Update67+2RS rank improving vs staples peers. Buyback continuing.
May 15#4 Current70+3All four signals Active. #1 U.S. beer thesis intact.

Signal Breakdown

EMA Cross
Active
18/25
21-day EMA above 50-day; trend slope steady
RSI Zone
Active
17/25
RSI at 60 — supportive momentum, room to run
RS vs SPY
Active
18/25
Outperforming SPY +2.8pp; premium beverage cohort leader
Volume Surge
Active
17/25
1.3x 20-day average on advance days; institutional accumulation

Today's Trade Card

Setup
STZ $280 CALL
Expires Jul 18, 2026
Premium
$5.40
Target
+55% premium
Stop loss
-35% premium
Breakeven
$285.4
Win prob.
58%
Sizing: Risk <= 1% of account
Greeks
Delta
0.46
Theta
-0.10
IVR
20%
IVR class
Low
Trade card available on Pro & Elite
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Options Profile

Avg IV (30d)
20%
IVR range (52-wk)
10-38%
Put/call ratio
0.66
Avg daily vol.
7.0K contracts
Open interest
100K contracts
Next earnings
Jul 1, 2026 (est.)

Risks & Fundamentals

Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move STZ against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.

Beta
0.8
Market cap
~$50B
Risk level
Low risk
Next earnings
Jul 1, 2026 (est.)
Key risks to monitor
  • 1.Hispanic consumer demand softening if economic pressures intensify
  • 2.Modelo brand share gains plateauing as competitive intensity rises
  • 3.Wine category continuing structural decline at faster pace than expected
These are real risks to the long thesis, not a recommendation to short. Stoptions setups are short-dated and stop-protected; size accordingly.

STZ Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions

Is STZ a good options trade today?+

Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 70/100, ranking it top 20% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.

What is STZ's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+

STZ's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 66%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past STZ trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.

What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for STZ?+

The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.

How often is the STZ setup updated?+

Every 72 hours we refresh STZ's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If STZ drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.

What does the Amora Edge Score measure for STZ?+

The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to STZ: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is STZ outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. STZ currently scores 70.

How does STZ compare to other Consumer Staples (Premium Beer, Wine & Spirits) setups?+

STZ's sector rank and percentile against other Consumer Staples (Premium Beer, Wine & Spirits) tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Consumer Staples (Premium Beer, Wine & Spirits) Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.

Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.

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