TMDX Stock and Options Trade Setup — TransMedics Group
Nasdaq · Health Care · Limited options liquidity; wide spreads expected · Small cap · ~$2.5B
TMDX is solving one of medicine's most acute resource constraints — the short preservation window for donor organs that causes thousands of viable hearts, lungs, and livers to be discarded annually. The Organ Care System extends viability windows dramatically, enabling longer transport distances and assessment of marginal organs. As transplant programs adopt OCS technology and reimbursement expands, TMDX has a clear multi-year revenue ramp. The company's integrated logistics and aviation services add a high-margin services layer. With a captive installed base of transplant programs and strong clinical evidence, TMDX enjoys defensible positioning in a niche with genuinely life-saving impact.
Score History & Signal Changelog
Preview dataThis page is a living document — updated every 72 hours from the last scan. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot.
Signal Breakdown
Today's Trade Card
Options Profile
Risks & Fundamentals
Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move TMDX against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.
- 1.Reimbursement coverage and rate uncertainty from CMS
- 2.Organ supply volatility independent of technology adoption
- 3.Commercial execution risk as logistics business scales
TMDX Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions
Is TMDX a good options trade today?+
TransMedics Group (TMDX) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 70/100, ranking it top 25%. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.
What is TMDX's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+
TMDX's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 64%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past TMDX trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.
What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for TMDX?+
The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.
How often is the TMDX setup updated?+
Every 72 hours we refresh TMDX's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If TMDX drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.
What does the Amora Edge Score measure for TMDX?+
The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to TMDX: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is TMDX outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. TMDX currently scores 70.
How does TMDX compare to other Health Care setups?+
TMDX's sector rank and percentile against other Health Care tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Health Care Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.
Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.
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