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Stoptions.ai›Tickers›UPS
Last updated: Friday, May 22, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET
↻ Next update: Monday, May 25, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET

UPSStock and Options Trade Setup — United Parcel Service, Inc.UPS logo

NYSE · Air Freight & Logistics · High-liquidity options · Large cap · ~$82B

▲ Bullish setupIndustrialsLogisticsMedium risk↑ Score +4 vs last update
72
Amora Edge Score
72
Top 27% of today's scan
↑ +4 vs last update
Composite of EMA, RSI, RS vs SPY & volume · updated every 72h
66
UPS Win Rate
66%
7 of 11 UPS setups hit target in 2026
Tracks completed Stoptions setups on this ticker since Jan 2026
Why we cover UPS

E-commerce volume normalization complete — UPS' US revenue has inflected. Reducing Amazon dependency (intentionally) improves margin mix. International and healthcare logistics growing. Yield-focused over volume strategy paying off.

Score History & Signal Changelog

Preview data

This page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.

Score progression across 4 updates
Solid = composite · dashed = components
Signal Changelog
DateUpdateScoreDeltaKey change
May 5#1 Created59—Page created. Package delivery setup on US revenue inflection and healthcare logistics growth.
May 9#2 Update64+5US domestic volume growth positive. Amazon exposure reduced ahead of plan.
May 14#3 Update68+7Volume above average. International segment margin expansion confirming yield strategy.
May 19#4 Current72+4All signals active. Logistics yield-focus compounder confirmed in Strong tier.

Signal Breakdown

EMA Cross
Active
21/25
Above both EMAs; e-commerce volume inflection driving consistent uptrend
RSI Zone
Active
17/25
RSI at 61 — momentum zone; healthcare logistics growth adding margin premium
RS vs SPY
Active
19/25
Outperforming SPY +2.3pp; logistics names rotating on yield-over-volume strategy
Volume Surge
Active
15/25
1.5× 20-day avg; accumulation on international expansion and Amazon dependency reduction

Today's Trade Card

Setup
UPS $115 CALL
Expires Jun 20, 2026
Premium
$3.50
Target
+65% premium
Stop loss
-40% premium
Breakeven
$118.5
Win prob.
55%
Sizing: Risk ≤ 1.5% of account
Greeks
Delta
0.41
Theta
-0.10
IVR
24%
IVR class
Low
Loading…

Options Profile

Avg IV (30d)
28%
IVR range (52-wk)
20–48%
Put/call ratio
0.78
Avg daily vol.
12K contracts
Open interest
188K contracts
Next earnings
Jul 29, 2026 (est.)

Risks & Fundamentals

Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move UPS against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.

Beta
0.9
Market cap
~$82B
Risk level
Medium risk
Next earnings
Jul 29, 2026 (est.)
Key risks to monitor
  • 1.Amazon building its own delivery network
  • 2.Economic slowdown reduces package volumes
  • 3.Labor costs elevated post-2023 Teamsters contract
These are real risks to the long thesis, not a recommendation to short. Stoptions setups are short-dated and stop-protected; size accordingly.

UPS Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions

Is UPS a good options trade today?+

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 72/100, ranking it top 27% of today's scan. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.

What is UPS's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+

UPS's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 66%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past UPS trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.

What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for UPS?+

The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.

How often is the UPS setup updated?+

Every 72 hours we refresh UPS's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If UPS drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.

What does the Amora Edge Score measure for UPS?+

The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to UPS: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is UPS outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. UPS currently scores 72.

How does UPS compare to other Air Freight & Logistics setups?+

UPS's sector rank and percentile against other Air Freight & Logistics tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Air Freight & Logistics Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.

Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.

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