XOM Stock and Options Trade Setup — Exxon Mobil
NYSE · Energy · Deep options liquidity; tight spreads · Mega cap · ~$500B
XOM is the best-positioned integrated major for the energy transition — large enough to fund both hydrocarbon production and low-carbon investments simultaneously, with a balance sheet that can sustain shareholder returns through commodity price cycles. The Pioneer Natural Resources acquisition transformed XOM's US shale position in the Permian Basin, adding decades of low-breakeven inventory. Chemical and specialty products diversification provides above-hydrocarbon margins. Proforma free cash flow generation at conservative oil price assumptions easily covers the dividend and buyback program. XOM's scale in LNG positions it to benefit from global energy security demand for American natural gas exports.
Score History & Signal Changelog
Preview dataThis page is a living document — updated every 72 hours from the last scan. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot.
Signal Breakdown
Today's Trade Card
Options Profile
Risks & Fundamentals
Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move XOM against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.
- 1.Oil and gas commodity price volatility directly impacts revenue and margins
- 2.Energy transition regulatory and policy headwinds in key markets
- 3.Pioneer integration execution and synergy realization timeline
XOM Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions
Is XOM a good options trade today?+
Exxon Mobil (XOM) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 76/100, ranking it top 25%. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.
What is XOM's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+
XOM's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 68%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past XOM trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.
What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for XOM?+
The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.
How often is the XOM setup updated?+
Every 72 hours we refresh XOM's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If XOM drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.
What does the Amora Edge Score measure for XOM?+
The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to XOM: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is XOM outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. XOM currently scores 76.
How does XOM compare to other Energy setups?+
XOM's sector rank and percentile against other Energy tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Energy Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.
Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.
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