TMHC Stock and Options Trade Setup — Taylor Morrison Home
NYSE · Consumer Discretionary · Adequate options liquidity; moderate spreads · Mid cap · ~$5B
TMHC operates in structurally undersupplied housing markets where demand from millennials entering peak homebuying years and Sun Belt migration outpaces new construction starts. The company's diversified product portfolio spans entry-level to luxury price points, allowing segment pivots as market conditions evolve. Land banking strategies and developed lot acquisitions provide visibility on future deliveries while managing capital risk. As mortgage rate volatility moderates, pent-up demand from sidelined buyers represents a meaningful potential volume catalyst. TMHC's community positioning in high-growth metros like Phoenix, Dallas, and Tampa aligns supply with the strongest migration corridors.
Score History & Signal Changelog
Preview dataThis page is a living document — updated every 72 hours from the last scan. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot.
Signal Breakdown
Today's Trade Card
Options Profile
Risks & Fundamentals
Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move TMHC against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.
- 1.Mortgage rate sensitivity — affordability constraints suppress buyer demand
- 2.Land and construction cost inflation compressing gross margins
- 3.Cancellation rate spikes in rising rate environments
TMHC Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions
Is TMHC a good options trade today?+
Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 71/100, ranking it top 25%. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a bullish setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.
What is TMHC's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+
TMHC's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 64%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past TMHC trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.
What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for TMHC?+
The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.
How often is the TMHC setup updated?+
Every 72 hours we refresh TMHC's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If TMHC drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.
What does the Amora Edge Score measure for TMHC?+
The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to TMHC: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is TMHC outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. TMHC currently scores 71.
How does TMHC compare to other Consumer Discretionary setups?+
TMHC's sector rank and percentile against other Consumer Discretionary tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Consumer Discretionary Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.
Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.
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